ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GNSS
Genasys Inc.
GNSS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GNSS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
GNSS's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GNSS PE Valuation
GNSS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GNSS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GNSS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
GNSS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.05 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.13 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.17 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.33 | +$0.33 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.40 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.63 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.64 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.66 | -$0.11 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.72 | -$0.22 |
GNSS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over GNSS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GNSS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7.3M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.1M | +146% |
| Q3 2025 | $17M | +153% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.9M | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.9M | +59% |
| Q3 2024 | $6.7M | -37% |
GNSS's revenue is growing: $7M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -55% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | +99 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1% | +84 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | +114 points |
| Q2 2025 | -60% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -90% | +32 points |
| Q4 2024 | -86% | +80 points |
| Q3 2024 | -106% | -81 points |
GNSS has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
GNSS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.9M | +$3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.4M | -$2.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $7.2M | +720% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M | +369% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.9M | +$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.5M | +$301K |
| Q4 2024 | $878K | +$6.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $526K | -84% |
GNSS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
GNSS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -479K shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +372K shares |
| 3 years | +23% | +8.5M shares |
| 5 years | +29% | +10.3M shares |
| Available history | +36% | +12.1M shares |
GNSS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $557,000 |
| Q4 2021 | $441,000 |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GNSS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 17.8x | High |
| Q2 2022 | -23.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -6.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -4.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
GNSS's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
GNSS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.5 | Neutral |
GNSS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GNSS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GNSS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
GNSS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
GNSS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.43 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.56 | 8.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.81 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.02 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.33 | 39% below |
GNSS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
GNSS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.19 | $7.07 | +122% |
| 2021 | $7.07 | $3.88 | -45% |
| 2022 | $3.88 | $3.12 | -20% |
| 2023 | $3.12 | $2.03 | -35% |
| 2024 | $2.03 | $2.60 | +28% |
| 2025 | $2.60 | $2.22 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.22 | $1.43 | -36% |
GNSS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.