ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GLW

Corning Incorporated

75
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

GLW has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GLW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

GLW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GLW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x313x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x313x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$59.79-50%
Forward29x$120—
Fair48x$119-0.6%
Current49x$120—
Expensive91x$223+87%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLW's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GLW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GLW, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails GLW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GLW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$205.03
Downside-15%$101.49

Calculated from the latest close: $119.50 on Nov 12.

GLW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

GLW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.94Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $4.18
Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.94Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $4.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.18+70%
Q3 2026$2.46+56%
Q2 2026$2.18+132%
Q1 2026$2.08+300%
Q4 2025$1.83+216%
Q3 2025$1.58+778%
Q2 2025$0.94+84%
Q1 2025$0.52-28%
Q4 2024$0.58-15%

GLW has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

GLW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+18%
Q2 2026$4.5B+17%
Q1 2026$4.1B+20%
Q4 2025$4.2B+20%
Q3 2025$4.1B+21%
Q2 2025$3.9B+19%
Q1 2025$3.5B+16%
Q4 2024$3.5B+17%

GLW's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

GLW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: −$156MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $620MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $516M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: −$156MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $620MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $516M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$516M+15%
Q2 2026$1.3B+224%
Q1 2026$30M+$87M
Q4 2025$620M+68%
Q3 2025$450M-6.6%
Q2 2025$400M+43%
Q1 2025-$57M+$99M
Q4 2024$369M-15%

GLW has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

GLW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 859MQ1 2024: 862MQ2 2024: 864MQ3 2024: 854MQ4 2024: 869MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 865MQ3 2025: 868MQ4 2025: 871MQ1 2026: 871MQ2 2026: 875MQ3 2026: 871M
Q4 2023: 859MQ1 2024: 862MQ2 2024: 864MQ3 2024: 854MQ4 2024: 869MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 865MQ3 2025: 868MQ4 2025: 871MQ1 2026: 871MQ2 2026: 875MQ3 2026: 871M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-4M shares
1 year+0.3%+3M shares
3 years+1.4%+12M shares
5 years+0.6%+5M shares
Available history-3.1%-28M shares

GLW has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GLW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate

GLW's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GLW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

GLW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GLW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGLWSector medianRelative
PE49x28x74% above
PE %503515 pts above

GLW is trading at 49x earnings, a 74% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

GLW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$135.312% below
20 week MA$150.521% below
50 week MA$144.717% below
100 week MA$101.817% above
200 week MA$68.774% above

GLW has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

GLW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.8$36.3+26%
2021$36.3$36.8+1.3%
2022$36.8$31.8-14%
2023$31.8$30.5-4.1%
2024$30.5$47.8+57%
2025$47.8$89.6+87%
2026 YTD$89.6$119.5+33%

GLW has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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