ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GIFT

Giftify, Inc.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

GIFT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GIFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

GIFT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GIFT PE Valuation

GIFT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GIFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GIFT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GIFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GIFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$0.95
Downside-41%$0.33

Calculated from the latest close: $0.56 on Nov 12.

GIFT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

GIFT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.71Q2 2025: $-0.50Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.23
Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.71Q2 2025: $-0.50Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.23+$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.39
Q4 2025-$0.35+$0.38
Q3 2025-$0.42-$0.07
Q3 2020-$4.18-$2.72
Q2 2020-$4.28-$3.11

GIFT has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over GIFT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GIFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22.3M+19%
Q2 2026$21.7M+4%
Q1 2026$21.4M-4.1%
Q4 2025$21.2M-12%
Q3 2025$18.8M-19%
Q2 2025$20.9M+4.4%
Q1 2025$22.3M+3.5%
Q4 2024$24.2M-71%

GIFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $22M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

GIFT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 34% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.

GIFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$231,451Q2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$246,917Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: −$36,697Q2 2026: −$273,750Q3 2026: −$723,157
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$231,451Q2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$246,917Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$1MQ1 2026: −$36,697Q2 2026: −$273,750Q3 2026: −$723,157
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2024-$246.9K-$226.9K
Q2 2024-$2.6M-$1.9M
Q1 2024-$231.5K+$119.4K
Q3 2023-$20.1K+$661.3K
Q2 2023-$630.3K-259%
Q1 2023-$350.8K+$80.5K
Q4 2020-$9K+$188K
Q3 2020-$345K-$77K

GIFT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2M over the past year, against −$3M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over GIFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GIFT Total Shares

Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 35M
Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+16%+4.8M shares
3 years+146%+20.9M shares
5 years+1079%+32.2M shares
Available history+1478%+33M shares

GIFT has 35M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GIFT Net Leverage

GIFT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GIFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic29.2Neutral

GIFT's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GIFT PE vs Technology Sector

GIFT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over GIFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GIFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.606.7% below
20 week MA$0.7525% below
50 week MA$0.9038% below
100 week MA$1.1250% below
200 week MA$2.2875% below

GIFT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 75% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

GIFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$1.60$0.80-50%
2022$0.80$1.51+89%
2023$1.51$4.00+165%
2024$4.00$1.04-74%
2025$1.04$1.05+1%
2026 YTD$1.05$0.56-47%

GIFT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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