ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GIB

CGI Inc.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

GIB has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GIB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

GIB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GIB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$81.81—
Cheap17x$97.00+19%
Fair20x$114+39%
Expensive22x$127+55%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GIB's PE is 14x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GIB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GIB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GIB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GIB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$102.19
Downside-20%$65.85

Calculated from the latest close: $81.81 on Nov 12.

GIB trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

GIB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.83Q4 2023: $4.88Q1 2024: $4.93Q2 2024: $5.04Q3 2024: $5.14Q4 2024: $5.31Q1 2025: $5.35Q2 2025: $5.29Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.24Q1 2026: $5.39Q2 2026: $5.67
Q3 2023: $4.83Q4 2023: $4.88Q1 2024: $4.93Q2 2024: $5.04Q3 2024: $5.14Q4 2024: $5.31Q1 2025: $5.35Q2 2025: $5.29Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.24Q1 2026: $5.39Q2 2026: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.67+7.2%
Q1 2026$5.39+0.7%
Q4 2025$5.24-1.3%
Q3 2025$5.16+0.4%
Q2 2025$5.29+5%
Q1 2025$5.35+8.5%
Q4 2024$5.31+8.8%
Q3 2024$5.14+6.4%

GIB has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

GIB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.5BQ4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.9B
Q3 2023: $2.5BQ4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.9B+2.5%
Q1 2026$2.9B+3.3%
Q4 2025$2.9B+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.7%
Q2 2025$2.9B+11%
Q1 2025$2.8B+7.6%
Q4 2024$2.7B+5.1%
Q3 2024$2.6B+4.4%

GIB's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $2.9B last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

GIB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $384MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $403MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $568MQ1 2026: $296MQ2 2026: $374M
Q3 2023: $384MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $403MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $568MQ1 2026: $296MQ2 2026: $374M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$374.2M+30%
Q1 2026$295.6M+15%
Q4 2025$568.2M+38%
Q3 2025$423M+5.1%
Q2 2025$288.9M-4.1%
Q1 2025$257.5M-14%
Q4 2024$411.6M+14%
Q3 2024$402.6M+4.8%

GIB has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

GIB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 236MQ4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 233MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 230MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 228MQ2 2025: 224MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 213MQ2 2026: 209M
Q3 2023: 236MQ4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 233MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 230MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 228MQ2 2025: 224MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 213MQ2 2026: 209M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-4.3M shares
1 year-6.9%-15.5M shares
3 years-12%-28M shares
5 years-16%-40.7M shares
Available history-23%-63.5M shares

GIB has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GIB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.7xVery low

GIB's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GIB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic91.1Overbought

GIB's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GIB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGIBSector medianRelative
PE14x28x48% below
PE %113524 pts below

GIB is trading at 14x earnings, a 48% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

GIB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$76.47.1% above
20 week MA$73.212% above
50 week MA$75.48.6% above
100 week MA$88.27.2% below
200 week MA$96.215% below

GIB has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

GIB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.1$79.4-5.6%
2021$79.4$87.3+10%
2022$87.3$85.9-1.5%
2023$85.9$107.2+25%
2024$107.2$109.9+2.5%
2025$109.9$93.8-15%
2026 YTD$93.8$81.8-13%

GIB has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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