ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GDEV
GDEV Inc.
GDEV has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GDEV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
GDEV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GDEV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2x | $8.34 | — |
| Cheap | 4.2x | $17.31 | +107% |
| Fair | 8.8x | $36.22 | +334% |
| Expensive | 12x | $51.03 | +512% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GDEV's PE is in its cheap range at 2.0x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GDEV Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GDEV to show an outlook.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
GDEV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.11 | +75% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.93 | +74% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.78 | +215% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.88 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.26 | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.20 | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.89 | +$5.13 |
GDEV has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over GDEV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GDEV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $93.6M | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $99M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $97.6M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $97M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.5M | -11% |
| Q3 2024 | $110.7M | -8.8% |
GDEV's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $94M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +5.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 13% | -11 points |
GDEV has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
GDEV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7.4M | +$17.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.4M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.3M | +319% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.1M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.9M | -186% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.4M | +1654% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.8M | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.8M | +46% |
GDEV has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
GDEV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.9% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -47.8K shares |
| 3 years | -2.3% | -433K shares |
| 5 years | -6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.2M shares |
GDEV has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GDEV hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GDEV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
GDEV has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
GDEV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 2.5 | Oversold |
GDEV's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GDEV PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GDEV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2x | 28x | 93% below |
| PE % | 0 | 38 | 38 pts below |
GDEV is trading at 2.0x earnings, a 93% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over GDEV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GDEV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.95 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.1 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.7 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.6 | 47% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.5 | 69% below |
GDEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
GDEV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $101.3 | +4.4% |
| 2021 | $101.3 | $80.1 | -21% |
| 2022 | $80.1 | $63.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $63.8 | $22.1 | -65% |
| 2024 | $22.1 | $19.1 | -14% |
| 2025 | $19.1 | $16.0 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $8.34 | -48% |
GDEV has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.