ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GCTS

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

GCTS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GCTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

GCTS's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCTS PE Valuation

GCTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GCTS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails GCTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GCTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$3.21
Downside-52%$0.74

Calculated from the latest close: $1.54 on Nov 12.

GCTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over GCTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.30Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.72Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.82Q2 2026: $-0.81Q3 2026: $-0.64
Q4 2024: $-0.30Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.72Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.82Q2 2026: $-0.81Q3 2026: $-0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.64+$0.17
Q2 2026-$0.81-$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.82-$0.34
Q4 2025-$0.82-$0.52

GCTS lost $0.64 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over GCTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $758,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $971,000Q3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $496,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $430,000Q4 2025: $758,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $971,000Q3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+149%
Q2 2026$971K-18%
Q1 2026$1.9M+287%
Q4 2025$758K-58%
Q3 2025$430K-84%
Q2 2025$1.2M-19%
Q1 2025$496K-85%

GCTS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1M last quarter, up 149% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

GCTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.3M-$2.5M
Q2 2026-$16.9M-$8.1M
Q1 2026-$7.5M+$575K
Q4 2025-$8.5M-$5.9M
Q3 2025-$7.8M-$3.1M

GCTS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over GCTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GCTS Total Shares

Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 92M
Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+11%+9.3M shares
1 year+78%+40.2M shares

GCTS has 92M diluted shares, up 78% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GCTS Net Leverage

GCTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GCTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic15.3Oversold

GCTS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCTS PE vs Technology Sector

GCTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over GCTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GCTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.656.7% below
20 week MA$1.9220% below
50 week MA$1.7311% below
100 week MA$1.688.3% below
200 week MA$4.9869% below

GCTS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

GCTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$9.90$10.2+2.8%
2023$10.2$10.6+3.7%
2024$10.6$2.35-78%
2025$2.35$1.22-48%
2026 YTD$1.22$1.54+26%

GCTS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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