ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

FTNT

Fortinet, Inc.

79
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

FTNT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FTNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

FTNT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$130—
Cheap40x$122-5.5%
Current42x$130—
Fair54x$164+27%
Expensive71x$218+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTNT's PE is in its cheap range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FTNT, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails FTNT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$194.65
Downside-14%$111.12

Calculated from the latest close: $129.54 on Nov 12.

FTNT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

FTNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.42Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.42Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76+23%
Q3 2026$3.07+26%
Q2 2026$2.83+13%
Q1 2026$2.58+6.2%
Q4 2025$2.42+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.43+22%
Q2 2025$2.51+48%
Q1 2025$2.43+58%
Q4 2024$2.26+55%

FTNT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+20%
Q2 2026$2B+26%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025$1.9B+15%
Q3 2025$1.7B+14%
Q2 2025$1.6B+14%
Q1 2025$1.5B+14%
Q4 2024$1.7B+17%

FTNT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2.1B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

FTNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $609MQ2 2024: $319MQ3 2024: $572MQ4 2024: $380MQ1 2025: $797MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $577MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $882M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $609MQ2 2024: $319MQ3 2024: $572MQ4 2024: $380MQ1 2025: $797MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $577MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $882M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$881.8M+55%
Q2 2026$965.6M+240%
Q1 2026$1B+26%
Q4 2025$577.4M+52%
Q3 2025$567.5M-0.8%
Q2 2025$284.1M-11%
Q1 2025$796.8M+31%
Q4 2024$380M+131%

FTNT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

FTNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 771MQ2 2024: 770MQ3 2024: 772MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 777MQ2 2025: 773MQ3 2025: 761MQ4 2025: 765MQ1 2026: 743MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 743M
Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 771MQ2 2024: 770MQ3 2024: 772MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 777MQ2 2025: 773MQ3 2025: 761MQ4 2025: 765MQ1 2026: 743MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 743M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+2.7M shares
1 year-2.4%-18.6M shares
3 years-6.1%-48.6M shares
5 years-11%-95.9M shares
Available history-15%-132M shares

FTNT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FTNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

FTNT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FTNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

FTNT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTNT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFTNTSector medianRelative
PE42x28x51% above
PE %203515 pts below

FTNT is trading at 42x earnings, a 51% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

FTNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$160.319% below
20 week MA$159.719% below
50 week MA$121.66.5% above
100 week MA$107.920% above
200 week MA$87.149% above

FTNT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

FTNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$30.0+39%
2021$30.0$69.8+133%
2022$69.8$48.7-30%
2023$48.7$58.5+20%
2024$58.5$96.1+64%
2025$96.1$81.6-15%
2026 YTD$81.6$129.5+59%

FTNT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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