ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

FORM

FormFactor, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

FORM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FORM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

FORM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FORM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x117x175x234x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x117x175x234x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$92.32—
Cheap28x$60.70-34%
Fair41x$90.72-1.7%
Current42x$92.32—
Expensive80x$176+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FORM's PE is in its fair range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FORM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FORM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails FORM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FORM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+141%$222.81
Downside-18%$76.01

Calculated from the latest close: $92.32 on Nov 12.

FORM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

FORM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.05Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $0.89Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.52Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.46Q3 2026: $2.19Forward: $4.11
Q4 2023: $1.05Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $0.89Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.52Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.46Q3 2026: $2.19Forward: $4.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.11+88%
Q3 2026$2.19+321%
Q2 2026$1.46+161%
Q1 2026$0.87+26%
Q4 2025$0.69-22%
Q3 2025$0.52-70%
Q2 2025$0.56-64%
Q1 2025$0.69-47%
Q4 2024$0.89-15%

FORM has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over FORM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FORM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $169MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $281M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $169MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $281M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$280.5M+38%
Q2 2026$258.2M+32%
Q1 2026$226.1M+32%
Q4 2025$215.2M+14%
Q3 2025$202.7M-2.5%
Q2 2025$195.8M-0.8%
Q1 2025$171.4M+1.6%
Q4 2024$189.5M+13%

FORM's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $281M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

FORM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$683,000Q1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: −$683,000Q1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.6M+232%
Q2 2026$52.2M+$99.6M
Q1 2026$29.8M+501%
Q4 2025$34.7M+23%
Q3 2025$19.5M+9.5%
Q2 2025-$47.4M-451%
Q1 2025$5M-75%
Q4 2024$28.3M+$28.9M

FORM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

FORM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 78MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-160K shares
1 year+2.2%+1.7M shares
3 years+1.3%+1M shares
5 years+0.5%+418K shares
Available history+1.8%+1.4M shares

FORM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FORM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -1.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

FORM has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FORM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.0Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

FORM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FORM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFORMSector medianRelative
PE42x28x51% above
PE %523517 pts above

FORM is trading at 42x earnings, a 51% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

FORM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$110.416% below
20 week MA$112.118% below
50 week MA$105.713% below
100 week MA$70.930% above
200 week MA$55.367% above

FORM has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

FORM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.0$42.6+64%
2021$42.6$44.5+4.5%
2022$44.5$21.5-52%
2023$21.5$41.7+94%
2024$41.7$45.9+10%
2025$45.9$58.1+26%
2026 YTD$58.1$92.3+59%

FORM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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