ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FLEX

Flex Ltd.

63
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FLEX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FLEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

FLEX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FLEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$31.01-60%
Forward13x$78.12—
Fair16x$43.16-45%
Current28x$78.12—
Expensive29x$81.26+4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FLEX's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FLEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FLEX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails FLEX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FLEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+94%$151.55
Downside-15%$66.41

Calculated from the latest close: $78.12 on Nov 12.

FLEX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

FLEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $2.26Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.59Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $6.25
Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $2.26Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.59Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $6.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.25+126%
Q3 2026$2.77+23%
Q2 2026$2.59+14%
Q1 2026$2.33+9.9%
Q4 2025$2.23-10%
Q3 2025$2.260%
Q2 2025$2.28+2.2%
Q1 2025$2.12-7.8%
Q4 2024$2.48+47%

FLEX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over FLEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.1BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.3BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $6.6BQ3 2025: $6.8BQ4 2025: $7.1BQ1 2026: $7.5BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8.5B
Q4 2023: $7.1BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.3BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $6.6BQ3 2025: $6.8BQ4 2025: $7.1BQ1 2026: $7.5BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.5B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+21%
Q1 2026$7.5B+17%
Q4 2025$7.1B+7.7%
Q3 2025$6.8B+4%
Q2 2025$6.6B+4.1%
Q1 2025$6.4B+3.7%
Q4 2024$6.6B-7.7%

FLEX's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $8.5B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

FLEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $598MQ2 2024: $229MQ3 2024: $216MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $266MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $260M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $598MQ2 2024: $229MQ3 2024: $216MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $266MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $260M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$260M-14%
Q2 2026$40M-85%
Q1 2026$211M-34%
Q4 2025$272M-9.6%
Q3 2025$303M+40%
Q2 2025$266M+16%
Q1 2025$321M-46%
Q4 2024$301M+95%

FLEX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

FLEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 436MQ1 2024: 425MQ2 2024: 411MQ3 2024: 400MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 381MQ3 2025: 380MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 378MQ2 2026: 374MQ3 2026: 374M
Q4 2023: 436MQ1 2024: 425MQ2 2024: 411MQ3 2024: 400MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 381MQ3 2025: 380MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 378MQ2 2026: 374MQ3 2026: 374M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.6%-6M shares
3 years-17%-74M shares
5 years-23%-113M shares
Available history-27%-136M shares

FLEX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FLEX Net Leverage

Q1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20191.9xHealthy

FLEX's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FLEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic15.8Oversold

FLEX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FLEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFLEXSector medianRelative
PE28x28x1.2% above
PE %803545 pts above

FLEX is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

FLEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$94.117% below
20 week MA$109.028% below
50 week MA$96.619% below
100 week MA$71.69.2% above
200 week MA$49.657% above

FLEX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

FLEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.7$18.2+43%
2021$18.2$17.8-2.1%
2022$17.8$21.5+21%
2023$21.5$22.2+3.2%
2024$22.2$39.1+77%
2025$39.1$63.3+62%
2026 YTD$63.3$78.1+23%

FLEX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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