ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FIG

Figma, Inc.

59
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

FIG has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable

FIG's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIG PE Valuation

FIG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FIG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FIG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$31.38
Downside-38%$11.71

Calculated from the latest close: $18.92 on Nov 12.

FIG trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over FIG in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

FIG Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-1.54Q2 2026: $-3.76Q3 2026: $-1.19Forward: $0.34
Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-1.54Q2 2026: $-3.76Q3 2026: $-1.19Forward: $0.34

FIG lost $1.19 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

FIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $144MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $274MQ4 2025: $304MQ1 2026: $333MQ2 2026: $370MQ3 2026: $391M
Q4 2023: $144MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $274MQ4 2025: $304MQ1 2026: $333MQ2 2026: $370MQ3 2026: $391M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$391.4M+43%
Q2 2026$370.1M+48%
Q1 2026$333.4M+46%
Q4 2025$303.8M+40%
Q3 2025$274.2M+38%
Q2 2025$249.6M+41%
Q1 2025$228.2M+46%
Q4 2024$216.9M+50%

FIG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2024: $391M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

FIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$20MQ2 2024: −$180MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$20MQ2 2024: −$180MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$41.5M-16%
Q1 2026$89.5M-5.4%
Q4 2025$39.2M-45%
Q3 2025$49.5M-17%
Q1 2025$94.6M+$114.3M

FIG generated $224M in free cash flow over the past year, down 18% from the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over FIG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 487MQ1 2024: 487MQ2 2024: 475MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 487MQ3 2025: 403MQ4 2025: 337MQ1 2026: 523MQ2 2026: 527MQ3 2026: 532M
Q4 2023: 487MQ1 2024: 487MQ2 2024: 475MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 487MQ3 2025: 403MQ4 2025: 337MQ1 2026: 523MQ2 2026: 527MQ3 2026: 532M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+5M shares
1 year+32%+129M shares

FIG has 532M diluted shares, up 32% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FIG Net Leverage

FIG's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.9Neutral
Stochastic9.8Oversold

FIG's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIG PE vs Technology Sector

FIG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus FIG above 0 of 3.

FIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.311% below
20 week MA$22.817% below
50 week MA$24.623% below

FIG is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 50-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

FIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$122.0$38.5-68%
2026 YTD$38.5$18.9-51%

FIG has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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