ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
FICO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FICO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
FICO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FICO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $717 | — |
| Current | 20x | $717 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $1,224 | +71% |
| Fair | 54x | $1,954 | +172% |
| Expensive | 72x | $2,633 | +267% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FICO's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FICO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FICO, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
FICO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $44.90 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $36.32 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.61 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $31.56 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.01 | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.54 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.57 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.22 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.79 | +22% |
FICO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FICO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $657M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $674.2M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $691.7M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $512M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $515.8M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $536.4M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $498.7M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $440M | +15% |
FICO's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $657M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 41% | -5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +4.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 58% | +8.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 46% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 46% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | +6.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 49% | +4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +1.2 points |
FICO has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
FICO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $293.4M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $379.6M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.1M | +206% |
| Q4 2025 | $173.9M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $219.5M | -2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $284.4M | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $72.8M | +8.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $193.2M | +60% |
FICO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
FICO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +285K shares |
| 1 year | -6.4% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -9.4% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -6.3M shares |
| Available history | -24% | -7.2M shares |
FICO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $605.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $171.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $548M |
| Q2 2025 | $486.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $217.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $162.6M |
FICO spent $3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 115% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FICO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
FICO's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
FICO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.9 | Oversold |
FICO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FICO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | FICO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 29% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
FICO is trading at 20x earnings, a 29% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over FICO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FICO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $739.0 | 2.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $968.6 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,181.6 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $1,466.7 | 51% below |
| 200 week MA | $1,338.3 | 46% below |
FICO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over FICO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FICO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $378.8 | $518.5 | +37% |
| 2021 | $518.5 | $435.1 | -16% |
| 2022 | $435.1 | $616.8 | +42% |
| 2023 | $616.8 | $1,164.0 | +89% |
| 2024 | $1,164.0 | $2,037.3 | +75% |
| 2025 | $2,037.3 | $1,753.2 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,753.2 | $717.4 | -59% |
FICO is down 59% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.