ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

FFIV

F5, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

FFIV has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FFIV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

FFIV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FFIV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$318—
Cheap23x$287-9.7%
Current25x$318—
Fair27x$343+7.9%
Expensive37x$467+47%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FFIV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FFIV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FFIV, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails FFIV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FFIV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$420.98
Downside-11%$281.60

Calculated from the latest close: $317.64 on Nov 12.

FFIV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

FFIV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $6.55Q4 2023: $7.67Q1 2024: $8.33Q2 2024: $9.29Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $10.05Q1 2025: $10.53Q2 2025: $11.34Q3 2025: $11.80Q4 2025: $12.08Q1 2026: $12.18Q2 2026: $12.55Forward: $18.21
Q3 2023: $6.55Q4 2023: $7.67Q1 2024: $8.33Q2 2024: $9.29Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $10.05Q1 2025: $10.53Q2 2025: $11.34Q3 2025: $11.80Q4 2025: $12.08Q1 2026: $12.18Q2 2026: $12.55Forward: $18.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.21+45%
Q2 2026$12.55+11%
Q1 2026$12.18+16%
Q4 2025$12.08+20%
Q3 2025$11.80+24%
Q2 2025$11.34+22%
Q1 2025$10.53+26%
Q4 2024$10.05+31%
Q3 2024$9.55+46%

FFIV has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

FFIV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $707MQ4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $681MQ2 2024: $695MQ3 2024: $747MQ4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $731MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $822MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $865M
Q3 2023: $707MQ4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $681MQ2 2024: $695MQ3 2024: $747MQ4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $731MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $822MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$865.1M+11%
Q1 2026$811.7M+11%
Q4 2025$822.5M+7.3%
Q3 2025$810.1M+8.5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+12%
Q1 2025$731.1M+7.3%
Q4 2024$766.5M+11%
Q3 2024$746.7M+5.6%

FFIV's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $865M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

FFIV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $174MQ4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $246MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $281M
Q3 2023: $174MQ4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $246MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $281M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$280.6M+2.5%
Q1 2026$347.6M+41%
Q4 2025$149.5M-23%
Q3 2025$191.9M-20%
Q2 2025$273.7M+79%
Q1 2025$246.1M+16%
Q4 2024$194.7M+25%
Q3 2024$240.4M+38%

FFIV has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

FFIV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58M
Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+252K shares
1 year-1.6%-942K shares
3 years-4.6%-2.8M shares
5 years-6.2%-3.8M shares
Available history-4.8%-2.9M shares

FFIV has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FFIV Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.4xQ4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8x
Q3 2023: -1.4xQ4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash

FFIV has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FFIV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic3.4Oversold

FFIV's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FFIV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFFIVSector medianRelative
PE25x28x9% below
PE %30355 pts below

FFIV is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

FFIV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$405.222% below
20 week MA$405.022% below
50 week MA$345.98.2% below
100 week MA$315.30.7% above
200 week MA$244.730% above

FFIV has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

FFIV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.2$175.6+26%
2021$175.6$234.8+34%
2022$234.8$141.0-40%
2023$141.0$179.0+27%
2024$179.0$255.6+43%
2025$255.6$263.1+2.9%
2026 YTD$263.1$317.6+21%

FFIV has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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