ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EXTR

Extreme Networks, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EXTR has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EXTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

EXTR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE148x296x444x592x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE148x296x444x592x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$27.18—
Cheap26x$10.05-63%
Fair56x$21.70-20%
Current70x$27.18—
Expensive269x$105+286%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXTR's PE is in its fair range at 70x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXTR, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails EXTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EXTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$39.15
Downside-17%$22.54

Calculated from the latest close: $27.18 on Nov 12.

EXTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

EXTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.60Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $0.60Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39+258%
Q3 2026$0.39+550%
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.37
Q1 2026$0.11+$0.50
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.98
Q3 2025$0.06+$1.01
Q2 2025-$0.06+$0.60
Q1 2025-$0.39-$0.32
Q4 2024-$0.92-253%

EXTR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over EXTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: $341M
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: $341M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.1M+9.9%
Q2 2026$338.5M+10%
Q1 2026$316.9M+11%
Q4 2025$317.9M+14%
Q3 2025$310.2M+15%
Q2 2025$307M+20%
Q1 2025$284.5M+35%
Q4 2024$279.4M-5.7%

EXTR's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $341M last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

EXTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$74MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $39M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$74MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.7M+$59.5M
Q2 2026$65.3M-13%
Q1 2026$7.8M-68%
Q4 2025$43M+167%
Q3 2025-$20.9M-279%
Q2 2025$75.3M+584%
Q1 2025$24.2M+$97.8M
Q4 2024$16.1M-44%

EXTR has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

EXTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-287K shares
1 year-0.3%-388K shares
3 years+0.9%+1.2M shares
5 years+1.1%+1.5M shares
Available history+13%+15.1M shares

EXTR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EXTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 20240.9xVery low
Q4 2023-0.2xNet Cash

EXTR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

EXTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.7Neutral
Stochastic48.5Neutral

EXTR's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXTRSector medianRelative
PE70x28x150% above
PE %643529 pts above

EXTR is trading at 70x earnings, a 150% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

EXTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.317% above
20 week MA$25.08.7% above
50 week MA$21.526% above
100 week MA$19.341% above
200 week MA$18.448% above

EXTR has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

EXTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.37$7.00-5%
2021$7.00$15.0+114%
2022$15.0$18.5+23%
2023$18.5$17.6-4.4%
2024$17.6$17.1-3.1%
2025$17.1$16.9-1.2%
2026 YTD$16.9$27.2+61%

EXTR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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