ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over EXOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
EXOD
Exodus Movement, Inc.
EXOD has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EXOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
EXOD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXOD PE Valuation
EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EXOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect EXOD's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS has the edge over EXOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EXOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.80 | -234% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.00 | -224% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.26 | -$1.04 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.53 | -112% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.83 | -72% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | -102% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.40 | +3000% |
EXOD has swung to a loss: it lost $3.80 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over EXOD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EXOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32.5M | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.2M | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.7M | -37% |
| Q4 2025 | $29.4M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.8M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $36M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $46M | +149% |
EXOD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $33M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -28% | -23 points |
| Q2 2026 | -83% | -53 points |
| Q1 2026 | -39% | +21 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | -59 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -30% | +36 points |
| Q1 2025 | -60% | -291 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +4.8 points |
EXOD has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
EXOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.3M | -$21.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$49.6M | -$44.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.6M | +$3.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.1M | -$3.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.8M | +$78K |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.4M | -$3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.2M | -2172% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.3M | -$3M |
EXOD has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
EXOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.6% | +493K shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +4.6M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +5.3M shares |
| Available history | +34% | +7.8M shares |
EXOD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $726,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7M |
EXOD spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 70% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EXOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
EXOD has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
EXOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
EXOD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXOD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EXOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over EXOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
EXOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.77 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.04 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.45 | 43% below |
| 100 week MA | $21.5 | 77% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.7 | 67% below |
EXOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over EXOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EXOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $25.3 | $21.0 | -17% |
| 2022 | $21.0 | $1.25 | -94% |
| 2023 | $1.25 | $2.30 | +84% |
| 2024 | $2.30 | $40.6 | +1664% |
| 2025 | $40.6 | $15.1 | -63% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.1 | $4.83 | -68% |
EXOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1664% in 2024 to −94% in 2022. It's down 68% so far in 2026.