ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over EFOR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
EFOR
Everforth, Inc.
EFOR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EFOR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
EFOR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EFOR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.7x | $35.83 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $22.59 | -37% |
| Fair | 17x | $27.71 | -23% |
| Current | 22x | $35.83 | — |
| Expensive | 23x | $37.43 | +4.5% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EFOR's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.7x, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EFOR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect EFOR's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
EFOR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.13 | +155% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.62 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.93 | -39% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.25 | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.60 | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.96 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.50 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.83 | -15% |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over EFOR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EFOR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $968.3M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $980.1M | -0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $968.3M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $985M | -8.3% |
EFOR's revenue has held roughly level: $1B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5% | -0.2 points |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
EFOR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $46.5M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $46.3M | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.1M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $93.7M | +5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $72M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $115.8M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.6M | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.9M | -19% |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
EFOR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -7.3M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -12.3M shares |
| Available history | -23% | -12.3M shares |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $39M |
| Q4 2025 | $64.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $46M |
| Q2 2025 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $50.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $43.9M |
EFOR spent $115M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EFOR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
EFOR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.9 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
EFOR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.4 | Neutral |
EFOR's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EFOR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EFOR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 21% below |
| PE % | 77 | 35 | 42 pts above |
EFOR is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
EFOR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.9 | 2.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $31.2 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.3 | 4.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $46.5 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.2 | 47% below |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
EFOR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.2 | $84.1 | +18% |
| 2021 | $84.1 | $120.9 | +44% |
| 2022 | $120.9 | $81.7 | -32% |
| 2023 | $81.7 | $96.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $96.2 | $83.7 | -13% |
| 2025 | $83.7 | $50.0 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $50.0 | $35.8 | -28% |
EFOR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.