ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

DV

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

81
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DV has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

DV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x832x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x832x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$13.57—
Current34x$13.57—
Cheap38x$15.32+13%
Fair71x$28.23+108%
Expensive132x$52.60+288%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DV's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails DV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$20.52
Downside-18%$11.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.57 on Nov 12.

DV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.63
Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.63+59%
Q3 2026$0.40+54%
Q2 2026$0.36+20%
Q1 2026$0.33+14%
Q4 2025$0.30-6.3%
Q3 2025$0.26-30%
Q2 2025$0.30-14%
Q1 2025$0.29-24%
Q4 2024$0.32-22%

DV has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $206MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $206MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$205.6M+9%
Q2 2026$193.8M+2.5%
Q1 2026$180.8M+9.6%
Q4 2025$205.6M+7.9%
Q3 2025$188.6M+11%
Q2 2025$189M+21%
Q1 2025$165.1M+17%
Q4 2024$190.6M+11%

DV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $206M last quarter, up 9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$45.7M+17%
Q2 2026$65.7M+64%
Q1 2026-$6.4M-120%
Q4 2025$62.1M+107%
Q3 2025$39M-19%
Q2 2025$40.1M+40%
Q1 2025$31.4M+24%
Q4 2024$30M-37%

DV has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 167MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 167MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2.4M shares
1 year-3.7%-6.2M shares
3 years-7.9%-13.7M shares
5 years-4%-6.7M shares
Available history+8.8%+12.9M shares

DV has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

DV has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic91.6Overbought

DV's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 92 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDVSector medianRelative
PE34x28x22% above
PE %64236 pts below

DV is trading at 34x earnings, a 22% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.50.4% above
20 week MA$12.95.3% above
50 week MA$11.419% above
100 week MA$13.13.4% above
200 week MA$20.634% below

DV has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$34.2$32.8-4.3%
2022$32.8$21.8-33%
2023$21.8$36.8+69%
2024$36.8$19.6-47%
2025$19.6$11.5-41%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.6+18%

DV has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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