ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DUOL
Duolingo, Inc.
DUOL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DUOL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DUOL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DUOL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $46.37 | -71% |
| Current | 51x | $157 | — |
| Forward | 51x | $157 | — |
| Fair | 151x | $464 | +195% |
| Expensive | 207x | $637 | +305% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DUOL's PE is in its fair range at 51.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 51.4x.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DUOL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DUOL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
DUOL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.07 | -0.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.08 | -61% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.49 | +249% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.74 | +331% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.57 | +356% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.89 | +329% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.43 | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.03 | +107% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.88 | +437% |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DUOL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $309M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $298.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $292M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $282.9M | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $271.7M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $252.3M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $230.7M | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $209.6M | +39% |
DUOL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $309M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +8.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6% | +3.4 points |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
DUOL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78.5M | -1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.4M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $150.6M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $96.6M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.4M | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $89.5M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.3M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $81.4M | +69% |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
DUOL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -101K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +786K shares |
| 3 years | +6.4% | +3M shares |
| 5 years | +279% | +36.8M shares |
| Available history | +39% | +14M shares |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $45.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $24.3M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DUOL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -7.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -8.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -10.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -10.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -10.7x | Net Cash |
DUOL has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
DUOL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.5 | Neutral |
DUOL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DUOL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DUOL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 51x | 28x | 83% above |
| PE % | 37 | 44 | 7 pts below |
DUOL is trading at 51x earnings, a 83% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
DUOL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $146.5 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $140.5 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $132.5 | 19% above |
| 100 week MA | $241.7 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $215.7 | 27% below |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
DUOL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $140.3 | $109.0 | -22% |
| 2022 | $109.0 | $70.7 | -35% |
| 2023 | $70.7 | $226.9 | +221% |
| 2024 | $226.9 | $333.3 | +47% |
| 2025 | $333.3 | $181.7 | -46% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.7 | $157.4 | -13% |
DUOL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.