ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DT

Dynatrace, Inc.

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

DT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$44.90—
Cheap42x$22.55-50%
Current83x$44.90—
Fair103x$55.64+24%
Expensive244x$132+194%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DT's PE is in its cheap range at 83x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DT, but weaker profitability.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$58.97
Downside-18%$36.79

Calculated from the latest close: $44.90 on Nov 12.

DT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.66Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $1.60Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.62Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.54Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $1.92
Q4 2023: $0.66Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $1.60Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.62Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.54Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.54Forward: $1.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.92+255%
Q3 2026$0.54-67%
Q2 2026$0.50-69%
Q1 2026$0.54-66%
Q4 2025$0.60-63%
Q3 2025$1.66+202%
Q2 2025$1.62+212%
Q1 2025$1.59+206%
Q4 2024$1.60+142%

DT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $418MQ4 2024: $436MQ1 2025: $445MQ2 2025: $477MQ3 2025: $494MQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $580M
Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $418MQ4 2024: $436MQ1 2025: $445MQ2 2025: $477MQ3 2025: $494MQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $580M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$579.9M+17%
Q2 2026$554.5M+16%
Q1 2026$531.7M+19%
Q4 2025$515.5M+18%
Q3 2025$493.8M+18%
Q2 2025$477.3M+20%
Q1 2025$445.2M+17%
Q4 2024$436.2M+19%

DT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $580M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $262MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $303MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $262MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $303MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36M+29%
Q2 2026$303.1M+16%
Q1 2026$212.4M+43%
Q4 2025$27.2M-28%
Q3 2025$27.8M+38%
Q2 2025$262.2M+15%
Q1 2025$148.2M+22%
Q4 2024$37.6M-48%

DT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 299MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 301MQ3 2024: 301MQ4 2024: 303MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 304MQ3 2025: 304MQ4 2025: 303MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 294MQ3 2026: 302M
Q4 2023: 299MQ1 2024: 299MQ2 2024: 301MQ3 2024: 301MQ4 2024: 303MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 304MQ3 2025: 304MQ4 2025: 303MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 294MQ3 2026: 302M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+7.9M shares
1 year-0.9%-2.6M shares
3 years+1.3%+3.9M shares
5 years+3.6%+10.5M shares
Available history+7.7%+21.5M shares

DT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -4.3xQ2 2024: -4.9xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.2xQ1 2025: -4.5xQ2 2025: -5.2xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -4.0xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: -6.8x
Q4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -4.3xQ2 2024: -4.9xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.2xQ1 2025: -4.5xQ2 2025: -5.2xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -4.0xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: -6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.2xNet Cash

DT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

DT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDTSector medianRelative
PE83x28x198% above
PE %30355 pts below

DT is trading at 83x earnings, a 198% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.521% below
20 week MA$51.513% below
50 week MA$44.31.3% above
100 week MA$47.75.8% below
200 week MA$48.16.7% below

DT's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.7% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.7$43.2+68%
2021$43.2$60.7+41%
2022$60.7$37.3-39%
2023$37.3$54.7+47%
2024$54.7$54.70%
2025$54.7$44.3-19%
2026 YTD$44.3$44.9+1.3%

DT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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