ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

DSP

Viant Technology Inc.

72
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

DSP has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DSP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DSP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DSP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x368x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x368x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap33x$9.44-19%
Current40x$11.59—
Forward52x$11.59—
Fair83x$24.08+108%
Expensive112x$32.49+180%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DSP's PE is in its fair range at 40x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 52x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DSP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DSP's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails DSP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DSP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$18.02
Downside-28%$8.30

Calculated from the latest close: $11.59 on Nov 12.

DSP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DSP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.35Q3 2026: $0.29Forward: $0.22
Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.35Q3 2026: $0.29Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22-24%
Q3 2026$0.29+142%
Q2 2026$0.35+133%
Q1 2026$0.40+208%
Q4 2025$0.36+157%
Q3 2025$0.12+71%
Q2 2025$0.15+$0.20
Q1 2025$0.13+$0.25
Q4 2024$0.14+$0.37

DSP has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DSP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.4M+29%
Q2 2026$104.3M+34%
Q1 2026$88.5M+25%
Q4 2025$110.1M+22%
Q3 2025$85.6M+7.1%
Q2 2025$77.9M+18%
Q1 2025$70.6M+32%
Q4 2024$90.1M+40%

DSP's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $110M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DSP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+44%
Q2 2026$27.6M+35%
Q1 2026$2.6M+$7.2M
Q4 2025$33M+103%
Q3 2025$2.8M-83%
Q2 2025$20.5M+53%
Q1 2025-$4.6M-238%
Q4 2024$16.3M-29%

DSP has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DSP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-67%-44M shares
1 year+6.6%+1.3M shares
3 years+40%+6.1M shares

DSP has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DSP Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -79.7xQ2 2024: -27.3xQ3 2024: -14.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -8.3xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -7.0xQ4 2025: -6.2xQ1 2026: -5.7xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -6.4x
Q1 2024: -79.7xQ2 2024: -27.3xQ3 2024: -14.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -8.3xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -7.0xQ4 2025: -6.2xQ1 2026: -5.7xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.3xNet Cash

DSP has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DSP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic55.0Neutral

DSP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DSP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDSPSector medianRelative
PE40x28x43% above
PE %34406 pts below

DSP is trading at 40x earnings, a 43% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DSP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.78.5% below
20 week MA$12.67.8% below
50 week MA$11.81.7% below
100 week MA$12.89.1% below
200 week MA$10.412% above

DSP has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DSP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$65.5$10.2-84%
2022$10.2$3.78-63%
2023$3.78$6.89+82%
2024$6.89$19.2+179%
2025$19.2$12.0-38%
2026 YTD$12.0$11.6-3.3%

DSP has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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