ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over DQ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

DQ

Daqo New Energy Corp.

42
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DQ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

DQ's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DQ PE Valuation

DQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$16.36
Downside-30%$8.04

Calculated from the latest close: $11.43 on Nov 12.

DQ trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.46Q1 2024: $2.15Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-1.81Q4 2024: $-5.17Q1 2025: $-6.50Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-2.57Q1 2026: $-2.78Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.41
Q4 2023: $5.46Q1 2024: $2.15Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-1.81Q4 2024: $-5.17Q1 2025: $-6.50Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-2.57Q1 2026: $-2.78Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.41+$1.76
Q2 2026-$2.83+$3.02
Q1 2026-$2.78+$3.72
Q4 2025-$2.57+$2.60
Q3 2025-$5.17-$3.36
Q2 2025-$5.85-$4.85
Q1 2025-$6.50-402%
Q4 2024-$5.17-195%

DQ has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over DQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.7M-21%
Q2 2026$62.8M-17%
Q1 2026$26.7M-78%
Q4 2025$221.7M+13%
Q3 2025$244.9M+23%
Q2 2025$75.5M-66%
Q1 2025$123.9M-70%
Q4 2024$195.4M-59%

DQ's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $195M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$992MQ1 2024: −$296MQ2 2024: −$274MQ3 2024: −$132MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$97MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$176MQ2 2026: −$155MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: −$992MQ1 2024: −$296MQ2 2024: −$274MQ3 2024: −$132MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$97MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$176MQ2 2026: −$155MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.2M+35%
Q2 2026-$155.3M-$58.1M
Q1 2026-$176.2M-$79.7M
Q4 2025$47M+$139.4M
Q3 2025$23.1M+$154.6M
Q2 2025-$97.2M+$176.9M
Q1 2025-$96.5M+$199.8M
Q4 2024-$92.5M+$899.7M

DQ has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+119K shares
3 years-8.6%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-9M shares
Available history-5.2%-3.7M shares

DQ has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -13.5xQ4 2025: -88.8x
Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -13.5xQ4 2025: -88.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-88.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-4.8xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 2023-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-1.4xNet Cash

DQ has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

DQ's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDQSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

DQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.13.1% above
20 week MA$12.15.5% below
50 week MA$18.538% below
100 week MA$19.742% below
200 week MA$24.153% below

DQ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 53% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over DQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$54.8+430%
2021$54.8$38.9-29%
2022$38.9$40.5+4.1%
2023$40.5$26.6-34%
2024$26.6$19.3-28%
2025$19.3$31.8+65%
2026 YTD$31.8$11.4-64%

DQ has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 64% so far in 2026.

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