ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DOCU

DocuSign, Inc.

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

DOCU has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DOCU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DOCU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOCU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$26.23-67%
Forward16x$80.15—
Fair35x$57.65-28%
Current49x$80.15—
Expensive114x$187+133%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DOCU's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DOCU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DOCU, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DOCU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DOCU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$102.28
Downside-26%$58.94

Calculated from the latest close: $80.15 on Nov 12.

DOCU trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DOCU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $4.74Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $5.08Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.40Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.54Q3 2026: $1.64Forward: $5.06
Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $4.74Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $5.08Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.40Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.54Q3 2026: $1.64Forward: $5.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.06+208%
Q3 2026$1.64+26%
Q2 2026$1.54-71%
Q1 2026$1.48-71%
Q4 2025$1.40-71%
Q3 2025$1.30-73%
Q2 2025$5.26+912%
Q1 2025$5.08+1311%
Q4 2024$4.85+1840%

DOCU has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DOCU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $700MQ1 2024: $712MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $736MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $801MQ4 2025: $818MQ1 2026: $837MQ2 2026: $830MQ3 2026: $876M
Q4 2023: $700MQ1 2024: $712MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $736MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $801MQ4 2025: $818MQ1 2026: $837MQ2 2026: $830MQ3 2026: $876M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$875.7M+9.4%
Q2 2026$830.2M+8.7%
Q1 2026$836.9M+7.8%
Q4 2025$818.4M+8.4%
Q3 2025$800.6M+8.8%
Q2 2025$763.7M+7.6%
Q1 2025$776.3M+9%
Q4 2024$754.8M+7.8%

DOCU's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $876M last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DOCU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $263MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $296M
Q4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $263MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $296M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$295.8M+36%
Q2 2026$289.4M+27%
Q1 2026$350.2M+25%
Q4 2025$262.9M+25%
Q3 2025$217.6M+10%
Q2 2025$227.8M-1.8%
Q1 2025$279.6M+12%
Q4 2024$210.7M-12%

DOCU has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DOCU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 193M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 193M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-3.4M shares
1 year-8.5%-17.8M shares
3 years-7.2%-15.1M shares
5 years-1.5%-2.9M shares
Available history+8.3%+14.8M shares

DOCU has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DOCU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -10.3xQ1 2024: -6.3xQ2 2024: -5.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.0x
Q4 2023: -10.3xQ1 2024: -6.3xQ2 2024: -5.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

DOCU has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DOCU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.3Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

DOCU's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOCU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDOCUSector medianRelative
PE49x28x75% above
PE %623527 pts above

DOCU is trading at 49x earnings, a 75% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DOCU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.95.6% above
20 week MA$65.622% above
50 week MA$57.440% above
100 week MA$68.617% above
200 week MA$62.628% above

DOCU has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DOCU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.4$244.9+229%
2021$244.9$157.0-36%
2022$157.0$53.9-66%
2023$53.9$59.5+10%
2024$59.5$93.0+56%
2025$93.0$70.0-25%
2026 YTD$70.0$80.2+15%

DOCU has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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