ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

DMRC

Digimarc Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score DMRC yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

DMRC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DMRC PE Valuation

DMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect DMRC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and DMRC's risk to reward.

DMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.43 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and DMRC's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DMRC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.34Q4 2023: $-2.26Q1 2024: $-2.06Q2 2024: $-1.96Q3 2024: $-1.93Q4 2024: $-1.83Q1 2025: $-1.88Q2 2025: $-1.83Q3 2025: $-1.71Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-1.42
Q3 2023: $-2.34Q4 2023: $-2.26Q1 2024: $-2.06Q2 2024: $-1.96Q3 2024: $-1.93Q4 2024: $-1.83Q1 2025: $-1.88Q2 2025: $-1.83Q3 2025: $-1.71Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-1.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.42+$0.41
Q1 2026-$1.26+$0.62
Q4 2025-$1.49+$0.34
Q3 2025-$1.71+$0.22
Q2 2025-$1.83+$0.13
Q1 2025-$1.88+$0.18
Q4 2024-$1.83+$0.43
Q3 2024-$1.93+$0.41

DMRC has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over DMRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $9MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7M
Q3 2023: $9MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.4M-7.8%
Q1 2026$7.6M-19%
Q4 2025$8.9M+2.9%
Q3 2025$7.6M-19%
Q2 2025$8M-23%
Q1 2025$9.4M-5.7%
Q4 2024$8.7M-6.7%
Q3 2024$9.4M+5%

DMRC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $7M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

DMRC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 68% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.

DMRC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$276,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: โˆ’$7MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $895,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$276,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: โˆ’$7MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $895,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$1.9M+$3.7M
Q4 2025$895K+$5.1M
Q3 2025-$2.8M+$4.3M
Q2 2025-$4.9M+$2M
Q1 2025-$5.5M+$3M
Q4 2024-$4.2M+$1.2M
Q3 2024-$7.2M-$6.9M
Q2 2024-$6.9M+$960K

DMRC has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$9M over the past year, against โˆ’$24M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DMRC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22M
Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+260K shares
1 year+3.1%+660K shares
3 years+10%+2.1M shares
5 years+36%+5.8M shares
Available history+87%+10.3M shares

DMRC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DMRC Net Leverage

DMRC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic74.1Neutral

DMRC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DMRC PE vs Technology Sector

DMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.937.2% above
20 week MA$6.5713% above
50 week MA$7.203.2% above
100 week MA$11.938% below
200 week MA$20.464% below

DMRC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$50.8+53%
2021$50.8$42.9-15%
2022$42.9$18.9-56%
2023$18.9$36.1+92%
2024$36.1$38.0+5.2%
2025$38.0$6.83-82%
2026 YTD$6.83$7.43+8.8%

DMRC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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