ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DIOD

Diodes Incorporated

74
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DIOD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DIOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

DIOD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DIOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$31.51-66%
Forward15x$91.60—
Fair24x$60.50-34%
Current37x$91.60—
Expensive46x$114+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DIOD's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DIOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DIOD, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails DIOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DIOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+87%$171.49
Downside-16%$76.83

Calculated from the latest close: $91.60 on Nov 12.

DIOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DIOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.91Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $2.07Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $5.97
Q4 2023: $4.91Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $2.07Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $5.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.97+139%
Q3 2026$2.50+81%
Q2 2026$1.86+36%
Q1 2026$1.85+236%
Q4 2025$1.43+51%
Q3 2025$1.38+4.5%
Q2 2025$1.37-34%
Q1 2025$0.55-85%
Q4 2024$0.95-81%

DIOD has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DIOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $323MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: $332MQ2 2025: $366MQ3 2025: $392MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $405MQ2 2026: $446MQ3 2026: $533M
Q4 2023: $323MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: $332MQ2 2025: $366MQ3 2025: $392MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $405MQ2 2026: $446MQ3 2026: $533M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$532.6M+36%
Q2 2026$445.5M+22%
Q1 2026$405.5M+22%
Q4 2025$391.6M+15%
Q3 2025$392.2M+12%
Q2 2025$366.2M+15%
Q1 2025$332.1M+10%
Q4 2024$339.3M+5.1%

DIOD's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $533M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DIOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.9M-30%
Q2 2026$34.8M+65%
Q1 2026$32.4M-21%
Q4 2025$12.4M-80%
Q3 2025$62.8M+60%
Q2 2025$21.1M+$24.6M
Q1 2025$40.8M+$92.4M
Q4 2024$62.1M+460%

DIOD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DIOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-199K shares
1 year-0.4%-190K shares
3 years-0.2%-73K shares
5 years+1.3%+605K shares
Available history-11%-5.6M shares

DIOD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DIOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash

DIOD has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DIOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic31.6Neutral

DIOD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DIOD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDIODSector medianRelative
PE37x28x32% above
PE %703535 pts above

DIOD is trading at 37x earnings, a 32% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DIOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.53.6% above
20 week MA$91.30.3% above
50 week MA$82.910% above
100 week MA$66.937% above
200 week MA$71.528% above

DIOD has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DIOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.6$68.4+25%
2021$68.4$107.5+57%
2022$107.5$76.8-29%
2023$76.8$80.5+4.8%
2024$80.5$64.1-20%
2025$64.1$50.4-21%
2026 YTD$50.4$91.6+82%

DIOD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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