ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DCBO

Docebo Inc.

73
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DCBO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DCBO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

DCBO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DCBO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE266x532x798x1064x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE266x532x798x1064x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$32.48—
Cheap23x$26.30-19%
Current28x$32.48—
Fair75x$86.97+168%
Expensive222x$257+692%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DCBO's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DCBO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DCBO, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DCBO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DCBO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$41.11
Downside-30%$22.85

Calculated from the latest close: $32.48 on Nov 12.

DCBO trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

DCBO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.69Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $1.71
Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.69Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $1.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.71+47%
Q2 2026$1.16+68%
Q1 2026$1.18+59%
Q4 2025$1.29+50%
Q3 2025$0.74+30%
Q2 2025$0.69+30%
Q1 2025$0.74+252%
Q4 2024$0.86+975%
Q3 2024$0.57+1040%

DCBO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

DCBO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $47MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $69M
Q3 2023: $47MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$68.7M+13%
Q1 2026$65.6M+15%
Q4 2025$63M+11%
Q3 2025$61.6M+11%
Q2 2025$60.7M+14%
Q1 2025$57.3M+11%
Q4 2024$57M+16%
Q3 2024$55.4M+19%

DCBO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $69M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DCBO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.2M-154%
Q1 2026$24M+214%
Q4 2025$8.6M-9.3%
Q3 2025$5.1M+31%
Q2 2025$6M-8%
Q1 2025$7.6M-7%
Q4 2024$9.4M+52%
Q3 2024$3.9M-37%

DCBO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DCBO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27M
Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-1.3M shares
1 year-11%-3.4M shares
3 years-19%-6.4M shares
5 years-18%-6M shares
Available history-5.8%-1.7M shares

DCBO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DCBO Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -4.7xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.0x
Q2 2024: -4.7xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.7xNet Cash

DCBO's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DCBO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.1Overbought
Stochastic85.1Overbought

DCBO's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DCBO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDCBOSector medianRelative
PE28x28x0.3% above
PE %223917 pts below

DCBO is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DCBO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.717% above
20 week MA$24.334% above
50 week MA$21.154% above
100 week MA$26.224% above
200 week MA$34.04.5% below

DCBO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DCBO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.1$57.7+15%
2021$57.7$68.1+18%
2022$68.1$31.9-53%
2023$31.9$48.4+51%
2024$48.4$45.7-5.6%
2025$45.7$22.2-51%
2026 YTD$22.2$32.5+46%

DCBO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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