ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
DAVE
Dave Inc.
DAVE has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DAVE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DAVE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DAVE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $227 | -15% |
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $287 | +7.2% |
| Expensive | 58x | $718 | +169% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DAVE's PE is in its fair range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DAVE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAVE, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
DAVE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $18.94 | +53% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.41 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.45 | +316% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.58 | +338% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.53 | +223% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.02 | +220% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.56 | +$3.84 |
| Q4 2024 | $4.19 | +$8.26 |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DAVE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $197.7M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $170.8M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $158.4M | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $163.7M | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.7M | +63% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.8M | +64% |
| Q1 2025 | $108M | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.8M | +38% |
DAVE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $198M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 38% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 44% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +22 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +38 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -20 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +17 points |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
DAVE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.4M | -2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $68.1M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $82M | +81% |
| Q4 2025 | $93.2M | +124% |
| Q3 2025 | $83.2M | +125% |
| Q2 2025 | $68.1M | +144% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.2M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $41.7M | +167% |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
DAVE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.8% | +241K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -604K shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +2M shares |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6M |
| Q2 2026 | $19.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $186.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
DAVE spent $224M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DAVE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
DAVE has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
DAVE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.7 | Oversold |
DAVE's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DAVE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DAVE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 23% below |
| PE % | 39 | 42 | 3 pts below |
DAVE is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
DAVE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $328.1 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $354.2 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $276.9 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $220.9 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $122.2 | 119% above |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
DAVE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $315.5 | $318.7 | +1% |
| 2022 | $318.7 | $9.50 | -97% |
| 2023 | $9.50 | $8.39 | -12% |
| 2024 | $8.39 | $97.8 | +1066% |
| 2025 | $97.8 | $229.2 | +134% |
| 2026 YTD | $229.2 | $267.4 | +17% |
DAVE has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.