ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over DAIO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

DAIO

Data I/O Corporation

42
Fundamentals15/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DAIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DAIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Strong

DAIO's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAIO PE Valuation

DAIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DAIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DAIO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DAIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DAIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$3.80
Downside-30%$1.85

Calculated from the latest close: $2.64 on Nov 12.

DAIO trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over DAIO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.09Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.17Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.40Q4 2025: $-0.56Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $-0.95Forward: $0.08
Q3 2023: $0.09Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.17Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.40Q4 2025: $-0.56Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $-0.95Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q2 2026-$0.95-$0.67
Q1 2026-$0.86-$0.57
Q4 2025-$0.56-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.40-$0.21
Q2 2025-$0.28-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.29-$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.34-780%
Q3 2024-$0.19-311%

DAIO lost $0.95 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over DAIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M-13%
Q1 2026$3.3M-47%
Q4 2025$4M-23%
Q3 2025$5.4M-0.6%
Q2 2025$5.9M+18%
Q1 2025$6.2M+1.3%
Q4 2024$5.2M-25%
Q3 2024$5.4M-17%

DAIO's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $5M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

DAIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $66,000Q4 2023: $262,000Q1 2024: −$180,000Q2 2024: −$268,000Q3 2024: $724,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $53,000Q2 2025: −$633,000Q3 2025: −$348,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $66,000Q4 2023: $262,000Q1 2024: −$180,000Q2 2024: −$268,000Q3 2024: $724,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $53,000Q2 2025: −$633,000Q3 2025: −$348,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.2M-$2.5M
Q1 2026-$2.2M-4317%
Q4 2025-$1.9M-$119K
Q3 2025-$348K-148%
Q2 2025-$633K-$365K
Q1 2025$53K+$233K
Q4 2024-$1.7M-763%
Q3 2024$724K+997%

DAIO has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

DAIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 10M
Q3 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+179K shares
1 year+4.6%+422K shares
3 years+9.9%+863K shares

DAIO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DAIO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -8.0xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -169.0x
Q3 2023: -8.0xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -169.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2024-169.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-6.3xNet Cash
Q3 2023-8.0xNet Cash
Q2 2023-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2023-8.7xNet Cash
Q4 2021-36.0xNet Cash
Q3 2019-21.7xNet Cash

DAIO has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

DAIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic14.5Oversold

DAIO's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAIO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDAIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

DAIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

DAIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.640% above
20 week MA$2.919.3% below
50 week MA$3.0012% below
100 week MA$2.939.9% below
200 week MA$3.2018% below

DAIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

DAIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.01$4.48+12%
2021$4.48$4.49+0.2%
2022$4.49$3.79-16%
2023$3.79$2.94-22%
2024$2.94$2.76-6.1%
2025$2.76$3.22+17%
2026 YTD$3.22$2.64-18%

DAIO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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