ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CVLT

Commvault Systems, Inc.

72
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CVLT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CVLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

CVLT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVLT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x327x491x655x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x327x491x655x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$166—
Cheap41x$78.75-53%
Current87x$166—
Fair91x$175+5.5%
Expensive123x$236+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVLT's PE is in its fair range at 87x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVLT, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails CVLT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$236.79
Downside-19%$135.00

Calculated from the latest close: $166.16 on Nov 12.

CVLT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CVLT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $3.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $1.92Forward: $5.73
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $3.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $1.92Forward: $5.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.73+199%
Q3 2026$1.92+8.5%
Q2 2026$1.56-13%
Q1 2026$1.58-6%
Q4 2025$1.93-49%
Q3 2025$1.77-55%
Q2 2025$1.79-54%
Q1 2025$1.68-55%
Q4 2024$3.80+$3.82

CVLT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $223MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $312M
Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $223MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $312M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$312.4M+13%
Q2 2026$314.1M+11%
Q1 2026$311.7M+13%
Q4 2025$313.8M+19%
Q3 2025$276.2M+18%
Q2 2025$282M+26%
Q1 2025$275M+23%
Q4 2024$262.6M+21%

CVLT's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $312M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CVLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70.9M-3.7%
Q2 2026$51.1M+71%
Q1 2026$131.8M+73%
Q4 2025$1.9M-94%
Q3 2025$73.6M+37%
Q2 2025$29.8M-32%
Q1 2025$76.2M-3.7%
Q4 2024$29.9M-30%

CVLT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CVLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+352K shares
1 year-6.6%-3M shares
3 years-6%-2.7M shares
5 years-11%-5.4M shares
Available history-8.3%-3.8M shares

CVLT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CVLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.7xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.7xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

CVLT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CVLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.2Neutral
Stochastic79.8Neutral

CVLT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVLT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCVLTSector medianRelative
PE87x28x211% above
PE %43358 pts above

CVLT is trading at 87x earnings, a 211% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CVLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.75.4% above
20 week MA$146.713% above
50 week MA$121.836% above
100 week MA$143.915% above
200 week MA$119.839% above

CVLT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CVLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$57.2+27%
2021$57.2$68.1+19%
2022$68.1$62.7-8.1%
2023$62.7$79.9+27%
2024$79.9$153.7+93%
2025$153.7$128.4-16%
2026 YTD$128.4$166.2+29%

CVLT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key