ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRWD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward153x$230—
Cheap451x$27.04-88%
Fair715x$42.92-81%
Expensive3,337x$200-13%
Current3,678x$230—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRWD, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRWD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$341.14
Downside-26%$170.12

Calculated from the latest close: $229.87 on Nov 12.

CRWD trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CRWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.50+2400%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.16-$0.14
Q4 2025-$0.32-346%
Q3 2025-$0.30-276%
Q2 2025-$0.17-221%
Q1 2025-$0.02-122%
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.15

CRWD has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+26%
Q2 2026$1.4B+26%
Q1 2026$1.3B+23%
Q4 2025$1.2B+22%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$1.1B+20%
Q1 2025$1.1B+25%
Q4 2024$1B+29%

CRWD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CRWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.9M+34%
Q2 2026$493.3M+65%
Q1 2026$395.4M+53%
Q4 2025$314.1M+27%
Q3 2025$302.3M+5.2%
Q2 2025$298.4M-11%
Q1 2025$258.5M-12%
Q4 2024$247.4M-1.9%

CRWD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CRWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+12.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+44.8M shares
3 years+7.8%+75.9M shares
5 years+15%+139M shares
Available history+28%+228M shares

CRWD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRWD Net Leverage

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CRWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRWD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRWDSector medianRelative
PE3,678x28x13,101% above
PE %913556 pts above

CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CRWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$247.47.1% below
20 week MA$221.93.6% above
50 week MA$163.041% above
100 week MA$136.069% above
200 week MA$97.5136% above

CRWD has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CRWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.2$55.3+352%
2021$55.3$52.9-4.3%
2022$52.9$25.5-52%
2023$25.5$63.8+150%
2024$63.8$88.8+39%
2025$88.8$120.3+36%
2026 YTD$120.3$229.9+91%

CRWD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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