ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over CRUS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CRUS

Cirrus Logic, Inc.

43
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

CRUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

CRUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current15x$122—
Cheap16x$128+4.8%
Fair21x$168+38%
Expensive28x$219+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRUS's PE is in its cheap range at 15x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRUS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRUS to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$142.58
Downside-33%$81.94

Calculated from the latest close: $121.71 on Nov 12.

CRUS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CRUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.17Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $5.38Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $6.00Q2 2025: $6.38Q3 2025: $7.03Q4 2025: $7.58Q1 2026: $7.85Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $7.93
Q4 2023: $3.17Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $5.38Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $6.00Q2 2025: $6.38Q3 2025: $7.03Q4 2025: $7.58Q1 2026: $7.85Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$7.93+13%
Q2 2026$8.18+28%
Q1 2026$7.85+31%
Q4 2025$7.58+38%
Q3 2025$7.03+20%
Q2 2025$6.38+19%
Q1 2025$6.00+22%
Q4 2024$5.48+73%

CRUS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over CRUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $619MQ1 2024: $372MQ2 2024: $374MQ3 2024: $542MQ4 2024: $556MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $407MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $460MQ3 2026: $559M
Q4 2023: $619MQ1 2024: $372MQ2 2024: $374MQ3 2024: $542MQ4 2024: $556MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $407MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $460MQ3 2026: $559M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$559.5M-0.3%
Q2 2026$459.7M+13%
Q1 2026$448.5M+5.7%
Q4 2025$580.6M+4.5%
Q3 2025$561M+3.5%
Q2 2025$407.3M+8.9%
Q1 2025$424.5M+14%
Q4 2024$555.7M-10%

CRUS's revenue is growing: $559M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CRUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $212MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $304MQ1 2024: $163MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $212MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$42.5M-52%
Q2 2026$49M-57%
Q1 2026$149M+17%
Q4 2025$285.7M+35%
Q3 2025$88.3M+1489%
Q2 2025$113.5M+47%
Q1 2025$127M-22%
Q4 2024$211.9M-30%

CRUS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CRUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-872K shares
1 year-3%-1.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-4.8M shares
5 years-13%-8M shares
Available history-15%-9M shares

CRUS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.2xNet Cash

CRUS has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CRUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic41.1Neutral

CRUS's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRUS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRUSSector medianRelative
PE15x28x45% below
PE %153520 pts below

CRUS is trading at 15x earnings, a 45% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CRUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$114.26.6% above
20 week MA$121.60.1% above
50 week MA$135.710% below
100 week MA$121.50.2% above
200 week MA$108.812% above

CRUS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CRUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$83.4$81.0-2.9%
2021$81.0$91.5+13%
2022$91.5$75.0-18%
2023$75.0$83.2+11%
2024$83.2$101.9+22%
2025$101.9$120.9+19%
2026 YTD$120.9$121.7+0.7%

CRUS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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