ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CORZ

Core Scientific, Inc.

49
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CORZ has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CORZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Under pressure

CORZ's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CORZ PE Valuation

CORZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 53x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CORZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CORZ to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CORZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CORZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$21.37
Downside-31%$9.88

Calculated from the latest close: $14.38 on Nov 12.

CORZ trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CORZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $-4.36Q3 2024: $-5.42Q4 2024: $-5.59Q1 2025: $-5.13Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-4.23Q3 2026: $-3.31Forward: $0.27
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $-4.36Q3 2024: $-5.42Q4 2024: $-5.59Q1 2025: $-5.13Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-4.23Q3 2026: $-3.31Forward: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.27—
Q3 2026-$3.31-5617%
Q2 2026-$4.23-$3.57
Q1 2026-$0.95+$4.18
Q4 2025$1.35+$6.94
Q3 2025$0.06+$5.48
Q2 2025-$0.66+$3.70
Q1 2025-$5.13-4046%
Q4 2024-$5.59-$4.91

CORZ has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over CORZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CORZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $233M
Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $233M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$232.9M+187%
Q2 2026$164.2M+109%
Q1 2026$115.2M+45%
Q4 2025$79.8M-16%
Q3 2025$81.1M-15%
Q2 2025$78.6M-44%
Q1 2025$79.5M-56%
Q4 2024$94.9M-33%

CORZ's revenue is growing: $233M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CORZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$25MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$113MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: −$584MQ3 2026: −$475M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$25MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$113MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: −$584MQ3 2026: −$475M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.4M-$362.7M
Q2 2026-$583.9M-$496.7M
Q1 2026-$139.3M-$10.3M
Q4 2025-$121.7M-$106.8M
Q3 2025-$112.7M-$87.3M
Q2 2025-$87.3M-$85.3M
Q1 2025-$129M-$119.3M
Q4 2024-$15M-249%

CORZ has burned cash in most quarters: −$1.3B over the past year, against −$344M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over CORZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CORZ Total Shares

Q1 2024: 283MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 292MQ4 2024: 256MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 323MQ2 2026: 325MQ3 2026: 469M
Q1 2024: 283MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 292MQ4 2024: 256MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 323MQ2 2026: 325MQ3 2026: 469M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+44%+144M shares
1 year+47%+150M shares
3 years+25%+93.2M shares

CORZ has 469M diluted shares, up 47% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CORZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20243.7xElevated
Q3 20241.7xHealthy
Q2 20242.7xModerate
Q1 20243.0xModerate
Q4 20238.1xHigh

CORZ's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.1 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CORZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic17.2Oversold

CORZ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CORZ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCORZSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CORZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus CORZ above 0 of 4.

CORZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.40.1% below
20 week MA$17.719% below
50 week MA$18.924% below
100 week MA$16.111% below

CORZ is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 100-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CORZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$3.46$14.1+306%
2025$14.1$15.3+8.8%
2026 YTD$15.3$14.4-6%

CORZ has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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