ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CLVT

Clarivate Plc

50
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

CLVT has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

CLVT's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLVT PE Valuation

CLVT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CLVT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CLVT's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CLVT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CLVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$4.03
Downside-43%$1.30

Calculated from the latest close: $2.30 on Nov 12.

CLVT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CLVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.65Q2 2024: $-1.90Q3 2024: $-1.98Q4 2024: $-0.96Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.57Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.61Forward: $0.62
Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.65Q2 2024: $-1.90Q3 2024: $-1.98Q4 2024: $-0.96Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.57Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.61Forward: $0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.62—
Q3 2026-$0.61-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.52+$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.21+$0.76
Q4 2025-$0.30+$0.66
Q3 2025-$0.57+$1.41
Q2 2025-$0.62+$1.28
Q1 2025-$0.97+$0.68
Q4 2024-$0.96+$0.51

CLVT has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over CLVT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CLVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $650MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $621MQ3 2025: $623MQ4 2025: $617MQ1 2026: $586MQ2 2026: $587MQ3 2026: $482M
Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $650MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $621MQ3 2025: $623MQ4 2025: $617MQ1 2026: $586MQ2 2026: $587MQ3 2026: $482M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$481.6M-23%
Q2 2026$587.3M-5.5%
Q1 2026$585.5M-1.4%
Q4 2025$617M-6.9%
Q3 2025$623.1M+0.1%
Q2 2025$621.4M-4.4%
Q1 2025$593.7M-4.4%
Q4 2024$663M-3%

CLVT's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $482M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CLVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$110.2M-4.6%
Q2 2026$44M-13%
Q1 2026$78.9M-28%
Q4 2025$89.2M+51%
Q3 2025$115.5M-8.6%
Q2 2025$50.3M-17%
Q1 2025$110.3M-1.3%
Q4 2024$59.1M-53%

CLVT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CLVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 672MQ1 2024: 667MQ2 2024: 686MQ3 2024: 719MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 690MQ2 2025: 681MQ3 2025: 668MQ4 2025: 673MQ1 2026: 641MQ2 2026: 639MQ3 2026: 640M
Q4 2023: 672MQ1 2024: 667MQ2 2024: 686MQ3 2024: 719MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 690MQ2 2025: 681MQ3 2025: 668MQ4 2025: 673MQ1 2026: 641MQ2 2026: 639MQ3 2026: 640M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+300K shares
1 year-4.3%-28.6M shares
3 years-4.7%-31.2M shares
5 years+4.7%+28.6M shares
Available history+86%+297M shares

CLVT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLVT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.7xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.7xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20259.7xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

CLVT's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.7 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CLVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.8Neutral
Stochastic66.9Neutral

CLVT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLVTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CLVT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CLVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.8524% above
20 week MA$1.9916% above
50 week MA$2.383.4% below
100 week MA$3.2930% below
200 week MA$5.4658% below

CLVT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CLVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.0$30.1+77%
2021$30.1$24.7-18%
2022$24.7$8.16-67%
2023$8.16$9.26+13%
2024$9.26$5.12-45%
2025$5.12$3.50-32%
2026 YTD$3.50$2.30-34%

CLVT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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