ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CLS

Celestica Inc.

70
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CLS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CLS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$115-55%
Forward14x$254—
Fair17x$184-28%
Current24x$254—
Expensive39x$411+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CLS's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CLS, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails CLS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$563.43
Downside-21%$200.93

Calculated from the latest close: $254.03 on Nov 12.

CLS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $3.04Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $3.47Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $6.03Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $8.25Q2 2026: $9.60Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $18.05
Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $3.04Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $3.47Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $6.03Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $8.25Q2 2026: $9.60Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $18.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.05+71%
Q3 2026$10.55+75%
Q2 2026$9.60+114%
Q1 2026$8.25+138%
Q4 2025$7.16+105%
Q3 2025$6.03+98%
Q2 2025$4.49+53%
Q1 2025$3.47+33%
Q4 2024$3.50+72%

CLS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $5.8B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $5.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.8B+83%
Q2 2026$4.7B+62%
Q1 2026$4B+53%
Q4 2025$3.7B+44%
Q3 2025$3.2B+28%
Q2 2025$2.9B+21%
Q1 2025$2.6B+20%
Q4 2024$2.5B+19%

CLS's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $5.8B last quarter, up 83% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $156MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $147MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $156MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $147MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$115.6M+30%
Q2 2026$147.1M+23%
Q1 2026$126.8M+35%
Q4 2025$155.9M+471%
Q3 2025$88.9M-10%
Q2 2025$119.9M+91%
Q1 2025$93.6M+38%
Q4 2024$27.3M-74%

CLS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 119MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 119MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.8%+5.6M shares
1 year+5.1%+5.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+2.2M shares
5 years-2.9%-3.7M shares
Available history-5.2%-6.7M shares

CLS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

CLS has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.2Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

CLS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLSSector medianRelative
PE24x28x14% below
PE %643529 pts above

CLS is trading at 24x earnings, a 14% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$300.615% below
20 week MA$313.919% below
50 week MA$321.321% below
100 week MA$243.14.5% above
200 week MA$139.682% above

CLS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.11$7.71-4.9%
2021$7.71$10.9+41%
2022$10.9$10.9-0.2%
2023$10.9$29.3+170%
2024$29.3$95.1+225%
2025$95.1$303.6+219%
2026 YTD$303.6$254.0-16%

CLS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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