ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CLFD

Clearfield, Inc.

60
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

CLFD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLFD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy

CLFD's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLFD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE942x1883x2825x3767x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE942x1883x2825x3767x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13xN/AN/A
Forward35x$31.27—
Fair37xN/AN/A
Expensive46xN/AN/A
Current223x$31.27—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CLFD's PE is 223x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CLFD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CLFD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CLFD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CLFD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$45.39
Downside-30%$21.74

Calculated from the latest close: $31.27 on Nov 12.

CLFD trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CLFD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.17Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $-0.25Q2 2024: $-0.62Q3 2024: $-0.85Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.58Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.51Forward: $0.89
Q3 2023: $2.17Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $-0.25Q2 2024: $-0.62Q3 2024: $-0.85Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.58Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.51Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89—
Q2 2026-$0.51-5200%
Q1 2026-$0.62-$0.48
Q4 2025-$0.49+$0.14
Q3 2025-$0.58+$0.27
Q2 2025$0.01+$0.63
Q1 2025-$0.14+$0.11
Q4 2024-$0.63-177%
Q3 2024-$0.85-139%

CLFD has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over CLFD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CLFD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $50MQ4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $44M
Q3 2023: $50MQ4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $44M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$43.9M-12%
Q1 2026$34.4M-27%
Q4 2025$34.3M-3.2%
Q3 2025$17.6M-62%
Q2 2025$49.9M+2.3%
Q1 2025$47.2M+28%
Q4 2024$35.5M+3.6%
Q3 2024$46.8M-5.9%

CLFD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $44M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CLFD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $654,000Q2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $654,000Q2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.9M+19%
Q1 2026-$2.1M-420%
Q4 2025-$2.4M-148%
Q3 2025$8.9M-9%
Q2 2025$7.5M+184%
Q1 2025$654K+$5.9M
Q4 2024$5.1M-7.2%
Q3 2024$9.8M+82%

CLFD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CLFD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 15MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14M
Q3 2023: 15MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-78.4K shares
1 year-1.7%-242K shares
3 years-11%-1.7M shares
5 years-1.6%-220K shares
Available history+1%+141K shares

CLFD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLFD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.8xQ4 2023: -1.8xQ2 2025: -13.5xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -2.5x
Q3 2023: -0.8xQ4 2023: -1.8xQ2 2025: -13.5xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-13.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.5xNet Cash

CLFD has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CLFD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.5Neutral
Stochastic55.1Neutral

CLFD's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLFD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLFDSector medianRelative
PE223x28x702% above
PE %943559 pts above

CLFD is trading at 223x earnings, a 702% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CLFD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.01% above
20 week MA$30.52.6% above
50 week MA$31.92% below
100 week MA$33.15.6% below
200 week MA$35.412% below

CLFD has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CLFD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.9$24.8+78%
2021$24.8$78.5+217%
2022$78.5$95.5+22%
2023$95.5$29.1-70%
2024$29.1$31.1+7%
2025$31.1$30.2-3.1%
2026 YTD$30.2$31.3+3.6%

CLFD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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