ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CLBT

Cellebrite DI Ltd.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

CLBT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLBT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

CLBT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLBT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x65x98x131x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x65x98x131x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$1.64-85%
Forward33x$10.89—
Fair44x$10.10-7.3%
Current47x$10.89—
Expensive62x$14.35+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CLBT's PE is in its fair range at 47x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CLBT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CLBT, but weaker profitability.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CLBT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CLBT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$15.03
Downside-24%$8.25

Calculated from the latest close: $10.89 on Nov 12.

CLBT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CLBT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.32Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-1.55Q4 2024: $-1.39Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-0.76Q3 2025: $0.31Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.29Q2 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.33
Q3 2023: $-0.32Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-1.55Q4 2024: $-1.39Q1 2025: $-0.96Q2 2025: $-0.76Q3 2025: $0.31Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.29Q2 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.33+46%
Q2 2026$0.23+$0.99
Q1 2026$0.29+$1.25
Q4 2025$0.31+$1.70
Q3 2025$0.31+$1.86
Q2 2025-$0.76-$0.24
Q1 2025-$0.96-$0.39
Q4 2024-$1.39-$0.96
Q3 2024-$1.55-$1.23

CLBT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CLBT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $84MQ4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $129MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $131M
Q3 2023: $84MQ4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $129MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $131M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$131.1M+16%
Q1 2026$128.3M+19%
Q4 2025$128.8M+18%
Q3 2025$126M+18%
Q2 2025$113.3M+18%
Q1 2025$107.5M+20%
Q4 2024$109M+17%
Q3 2024$106.9M+27%

CLBT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $131M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CLBT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $28MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $15M
Q3 2023: $28MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$14.5M-50%
Q1 2026$16.8M-9.1%
Q4 2025$78.3M+27%
Q3 2025$30M-25%
Q2 2025$29M+138%
Q1 2025$18.5M+134%
Q4 2024$61.7M+59%
Q3 2024$39.8M+42%

CLBT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CLBT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 204MQ4 2023: 194MQ1 2024: 197MQ2 2024: 199MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 247MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 250MQ4 2025: 252MQ1 2026: 252MQ2 2026: 253M
Q3 2023: 204MQ4 2023: 194MQ1 2024: 197MQ2 2024: 199MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 247MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 250MQ4 2025: 252MQ1 2026: 252MQ2 2026: 253M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+711K shares
1 year+1.5%+3.8M shares
3 years+34%+64.7M shares
5 years+35%+65.6M shares
Available history+35%+65.6M shares

CLBT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLBT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q3 2023: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.4xNet Cash

CLBT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CLBT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic32.9Neutral

CLBT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLBT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLBTSector medianRelative
PE47x28x67% above
PE %553916 pts above

CLBT is trading at 47x earnings, a 67% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over CLBT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CLBT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.55.1% below
20 week MA$12.614% below
50 week MA$13.922% below
100 week MA$16.132% below
200 week MA$13.117% below

CLBT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CLBT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.66$10.5+8.8%
2021$10.5$8.10-23%
2022$8.10$4.18-48%
2023$4.18$8.66+107%
2024$8.66$22.2+156%
2025$22.2$18.4-17%
2026 YTD$18.4$10.9-41%

CLBT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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