ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CGNX

Cognex Corporation

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CGNX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CGNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGNX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$50.77—
Current35x$50.77—
Cheap40x$57.69+14%
Fair55x$79.70+57%
Expensive79x$113+123%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGNX's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CGNX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails CGNX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$87.15
Downside-13%$44.08

Calculated from the latest close: $50.77 on Nov 12.

CGNX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.94+34%
Q3 2026$1.44+122%
Q2 2026$1.04+44%
Q1 2026$0.85+23%
Q4 2025$0.68+9.7%
Q3 2025$0.65+27%
Q2 2025$0.72+60%
Q1 2025$0.69+21%
Q4 2024$0.62-4.6%

CGNX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$313.4M+13%
Q2 2026$291.3M+17%
Q1 2026$268.4M+24%
Q4 2025$252.3M+9.9%
Q3 2025$276.9M+18%
Q2 2025$249.1M+4.1%
Q1 2025$216M+2.5%
Q4 2024$229.7M+17%

CGNX's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $313M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.8M+21%
Q2 2026$67.6M+67%
Q1 2026$42.3M+11%
Q4 2025$72.3M+47%
Q3 2025$86M+66%
Q2 2025$40.4M+74%
Q1 2025$38M+297%
Q4 2024$49.3M+560%

CGNX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1M shares
1 year+1%+1.7M shares
3 years-1.3%-2.3M shares
5 years-5.2%-9.3M shares
Available history-2.4%-4.2M shares

CGNX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CGNX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

CGNX has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic13.4Oversold

CGNX's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGNX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCGNXSector medianRelative
PE35x28x27% above
PE %83527 pts below

CGNX is trading at 35x earnings, a 27% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.49.9% below
20 week MA$60.917% below
50 week MA$55.17.8% below
100 week MA$45.611% above
200 week MA$44.913% above

CGNX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.2$80.7+44%
2021$80.7$77.6-3.9%
2022$77.6$47.4-39%
2023$47.4$41.7-12%
2024$41.7$36.0-14%
2025$36.0$36.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$36.6$50.8+39%

CGNX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key