ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CCC

CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CCC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CCC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Weak

CCC's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CCC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE558x1116x1675x2233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE558x1116x1675x2233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$7.69—
Current59x$7.69—
Cheap93x$12.12+58%
Fair231x$30.03+291%
Expensive804x$104+1259%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCC's PE is in its cheap range at 59x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CCC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCC, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails CCC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$11.50
Downside-14%$6.63

Calculated from the latest close: $7.69 on Nov 12.

CCC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CCC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $0.51
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.51+296%
Q3 2026$0.13+$0.13
Q2 2026$0.08+$0.08
Q1 2026$0.06+500%
Q4 2025$0.00-100%
Q3 2025$0.00-100%
Q2 2025$0.00-100%
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.16
Q4 2024$0.04+$0.19

CCC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

CCC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $252MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $267MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $294M
Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $252MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $267MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $294M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$294.1M+10%
Q2 2026$285.9M+9.8%
Q1 2026$281.3M+12%
Q4 2025$277.9M+13%
Q3 2025$267.1M+12%
Q2 2025$260.5M+12%
Q1 2025$251.6M+11%
Q4 2024$246.5M+7.8%

CCC's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $294M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CCC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.5M+4.9%
Q2 2026$82.4M+201%
Q1 2026$41.6M-4.7%
Q4 2025$104.9M-0.8%
Q3 2025$78.6M+59%
Q2 2025$27.4M-24%
Q1 2025$43.6M+10%
Q4 2024$105.7M+41%

CCC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CCC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 618MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 638MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 642MQ1 2025: 637MQ2 2025: 661MQ3 2025: 631MQ4 2025: 660MQ1 2026: 607MQ2 2026: 585MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 618MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 638MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 642MQ1 2025: 637MQ2 2025: 661MQ3 2025: 631MQ4 2025: 660MQ1 2026: 607MQ2 2026: 585MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+8.5M shares
1 year-6%-38M shares
3 years-5%-31.5M shares
5 years+4.8%+27M shares

CCC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CCC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 44.4xQ1 2024: 75.1xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 44.4xQ1 2024: 75.1xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20257.2xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 20243.0xElevated

CCC's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.2 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CCC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic88.2Overbought

CCC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CCC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCCCSector medianRelative
PE59x28x112% above
PE %23836 pts below

CCC is trading at 59x earnings, a 112% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

CCC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.354.6% above
20 week MA$6.9011% above
50 week MA$6.3821% above
100 week MA$7.963.4% below
200 week MA$9.4118% below

CCC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CCC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.4$14.0+23%
2021$14.0$11.6-17%
2022$11.6$8.82-24%
2023$8.82$11.4+29%
2024$11.4$12.0+4.9%
2025$12.0$8.09-32%
2026 YTD$8.09$7.69-4.9%

CCC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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