ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CALX

Calix, Inc.

72
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

CALX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CALX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

CALX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CALX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE339x678x1017x1356x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE339x678x1017x1356x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$32.68—
Cheap19x$12.95-60%
Current47x$32.68—
Fair72x$49.68+52%
Expensive127x$87.43+168%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CALX's PE is in its cheap range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CALX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CALX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails CALX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CALX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$48.52
Downside-16%$27.54

Calculated from the latest close: $32.68 on Nov 12.

CALX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

CALX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.45Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.26Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.45Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.26Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+219%
Q3 2026$0.69+$0.81
Q2 2026$0.75+$1.15
Q1 2026$0.49+$1.01
Q4 2025$0.26+$0.71
Q3 2025-$0.12+$0.15
Q2 2025-$0.40-1433%
Q1 2025-$0.52-286%
Q4 2024-$0.45-207%

CALX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over CALX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CALX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $302M
Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $302M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$301.7M+14%
Q2 2026$293.3M+21%
Q1 2026$280M+27%
Q4 2025$272.4M+32%
Q3 2025$265.4M+32%
Q2 2025$241.9M+22%
Q1 2025$220.2M-2.7%
Q4 2024$206.1M-22%

CALX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $302M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

CALX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.4M-87%
Q2 2026$11.9M-67%
Q1 2026$6.5M-49%
Q4 2025$40.3M+294%
Q3 2025$26.7M+109%
Q2 2025$35.6M+117%
Q1 2025$12.9M+17%
Q4 2024$10.2M-6.7%

CALX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CALX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.1M shares
1 year-7.7%-5.3M shares
3 years-7.4%-5.1M shares
5 years-5.1%-3.5M shares
Available history+17%+9.5M shares

CALX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CALX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-9.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2023-2.0xNet Cash

CALX has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CALX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.9Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

CALX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CALX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCALXSector medianRelative
PE47x28x70% above
PE %30355 pts below

CALX is trading at 47x earnings, a 70% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over CALX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CALX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.86% below
20 week MA$36.510% below
50 week MA$43.325% below
100 week MA$45.628% below
200 week MA$43.224% below

CALX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

CALX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.04$31.9+297%
2021$31.9$66.2+108%
2022$66.2$67.5+1.9%
2023$67.5$43.7-35%
2024$43.7$35.0-20%
2025$35.0$54.3+55%
2026 YTD$54.3$32.7-40%

CALX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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