ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

BTDR

Bitdeer Technologies Group

There isn't enough reported data to score BTDR yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Healthy

BTDR's balance sheet is currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BTDR PE Valuation

BTDR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BTDR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and BTDR's risk to reward.

BTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $6.13 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and BTDR's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

BTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2020: $0.00Q4 2023: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-4.36Q2 2025: $-4.80
Q4 2020: $0.00Q4 2023: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-4.36Q2 2025: $-4.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$4.36-$3.85

BTDR and ASTS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 187% for ASTS versus down 32% for BTDR.

BTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2020: $42MQ3 2020: $52MQ4 2020: $52MQ1 2021: $110MQ2 2021: $110MQ3 2021: $87MQ4 2021: $87MQ4 2022: $333MQ4 2023: $369MQ2 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $112MQ2 2025: $226M
Q2 2020: $42MQ3 2020: $52MQ4 2020: $52MQ1 2021: $110MQ2 2021: $110MQ3 2021: $87MQ4 2021: $87MQ4 2022: $333MQ4 2023: $369MQ2 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $112MQ2 2025: $226M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$225.7M+3.2%
Q4 2024$112.3M-70%
Q4 2023$368.6M+11%
Q4 2022$333.3M+281%
Q4 2021$87.5M+70%
Q3 2021$87.5M+70%
Q2 2021$109.8M+164%
Q1 2021$109.8M+164%

BTDR's revenue is growing: $226M last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 363% versus its history, compared with BTDR at down 493%.

BTDR Free Cash Flow

Q2 2020: −$72MQ3 2020: −$55MQ4 2020: −$55MQ1 2021: −$13MQ2 2021: −$445,350Q3 2021: −$150,860Q4 2021: $198,450Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: −$770M
Q2 2020: −$72MQ3 2020: −$55MQ4 2020: −$55MQ1 2021: −$13MQ2 2021: −$445,350Q3 2021: −$150,860Q4 2021: $198,450Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: −$770M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2021$198.5K+$54.8M
Q3 2021-$150.9K+$54.5M
Q2 2021-$445.4K+$71.5M
Q1 2021-$12.6M+$59.3M

BTDR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$771M over the past year, against −$194M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

BTDR Total Shares

Q2 2020: 12.7BQ3 2020: 12.7BQ4 2020: 12.7BQ4 2023: 110MQ2 2024: 121M
Q2 2020: 12.7BQ3 2020: 12.7BQ4 2020: 12.7BQ4 2023: 110MQ2 2024: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.2%+10.2M shares
1 year-99%-12.5B shares

BTDR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2020: 0.1xQ1 2021: -1.0xQ2 2021: -0.6xQ3 2021: -1.4xQ4 2021: -1.5xQ4 2022: -34.5xQ4 2023: -5.2x
Q4 2020: 0.1xQ1 2021: -1.0xQ2 2021: -0.6xQ3 2021: -1.4xQ4 2021: -1.5xQ4 2022: -34.5xQ4 2023: -5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2023-5.2xNet Cash
Q4 2022-34.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20200.1xVery low

BTDR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

BTDR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BTDR PE vs Technology Sector

BTDR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus BTDR above 0 of 4.

BTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.2125% below
20 week MA$10.240% below
50 week MA$11.446% below
100 week MA$13.253% below

BTDR is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 53% below its 100-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

BTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$10.5$9.86-6.4%
2024$9.86$23.7+140%
2025$23.7$10.7-55%
2026 YTD$10.7$6.13-43%

BTDR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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