ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over BMBL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BMBL
Bumble Inc.
BMBL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BMBL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
BMBL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BMBL PE Valuation
BMBL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BMBL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BMBL's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS has the edge over BMBL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BMBL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.63 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.26 | -$2.36 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.13 | +$3.21 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.74 | -$1.07 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.95 | -$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.90 | +$2.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.34 | -2259% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.67 | -2847% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.61 | -$4.58 |
BMBL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.26 per share over the past year, against $7.34 at its worst in mid-2025.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over BMBL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BMBL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $207.1M | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $210.5M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.4M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $224.2M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $246.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $248.2M | -7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $247.1M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $261.6M | -4.4% |
BMBL's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $207M last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -53% | +83 points |
| Q1 2026 | 31% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | -257% | -271 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +332 points |
| Q2 2025 | -136% | -156 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +17 points |
BMBL has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
BMBL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $56M | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $53.6M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.2M | +79% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.1M | +$64.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $76.8M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.2M | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.2M | +1687% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.4M | -109% |
BMBL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over BMBL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
BMBL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +1.4M shares |
| 1 year | +28% | +28.9M shares |
| 3 years | +0.4% | +497K shares |
| 5 years | +19% | +20.7M shares |
BMBL has 132M diluted shares, up 28% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $28.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $40.3M |
BMBL hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BMBL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2022 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2020 | 9.0x | High |
| Q3 2020 | 4.2x | High |
BMBL's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BMBL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 77.0 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 99.3 | Overbought |
BMBL's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 99 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BMBL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | BMBL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
BMBL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
BMBL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.70 | 28% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.61 | 66% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.47 | 73% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.71 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $9.16 | 34% below |
BMBL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
BMBL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $75.5 | $34.9 | -54% |
| 2022 | $34.9 | $20.9 | -40% |
| 2023 | $20.9 | $14.7 | -30% |
| 2024 | $14.7 | $8.02 | -46% |
| 2025 | $8.02 | $3.52 | -56% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.52 | $6.01 | +71% |
BMBL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.