ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over BLSH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BLSH

Bullish

46
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

BLSH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BLSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure

BLSH's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLSH PE Valuation

BLSH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BLSH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLSH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$37.31
Downside-37%$14.52

Calculated from the latest close: $23.17 on Nov 12.

BLSH trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over BLSH in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BLSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.53Q1 2025: $-2.53Q2 2025: $-1.00Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-5.10Q1 2026: $-6.60Q2 2026: $-9.12Forward: $0.82
Q4 2024: $0.53Q1 2025: $-2.53Q2 2025: $-1.00Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-5.10Q1 2026: $-6.60Q2 2026: $-9.12Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q2 2026-$9.12-$8.12
Q1 2026-$6.60-$4.07
Q4 2025-$5.10-1062%

BLSH lost $9.12 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over BLSH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLSH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: --Q1 2024: $80.4BQ2 2024: $49.6BQ3 2024: $54.2BQ4 2024: $66BQ1 2025: $80.3BQ2 2025: $58.7BQ3 2025: $41.6BQ4 2025: $64.4BQ1 2026: $51.8BQ2 2026: $93M
Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: --Q1 2024: $80.4BQ2 2024: $49.6BQ3 2024: $54.2BQ4 2024: $66BQ1 2025: $80.3BQ2 2025: $58.7BQ3 2025: $41.6BQ4 2025: $64.4BQ1 2026: $51.8BQ2 2026: $93M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$92.6M-100%
Q1 2026$51.8B-35%
Q4 2025$64.4B-2.5%
Q3 2025$41.6B-23%
Q2 2025$58.7B+18%
Q1 2025$80.3B-0.2%

BLSH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $93M last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

BLSH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: --Q1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: --Q1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: −$45MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$49MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M-88%
Q1 2026$89.6M+$134.9M
Q4 2025$54.1M+52%
Q3 2025-$48.7M-$38.8M
Q2 2025$16.8M+25%
Q1 2025-$45.3M+$27.4M

BLSH has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

BLSH Total Shares

Q1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 151MQ1 2026: 151MQ2 2026: 151M
Q1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 151MQ1 2026: 151MQ2 2026: 151M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+270K shares
1 year+3.6%+5.2M shares

BLSH has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BLSH Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.9x
Q4 2024: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20243.9xElevated

BLSH's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BLSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

BLSH's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLSH PE vs Technology Sector

BLSH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus BLSH above 0 of 3.

BLSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.820% below
20 week MA$28.519% below
50 week MA$32.829% below

BLSH is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 50-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

BLSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$69.5$41.1-41%
2026 YTD$41.1$23.2-44%

BLSH has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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