ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLND

Blend Labs, Inc.

55
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

BLND has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BLND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

BLND's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLND PE Valuation

BLND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BLND's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$1.75
Downside-38%$0.66

Calculated from the latest close: $1.07 on Nov 12.

BLND trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

BLND has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus BLND down 116%.

BLND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $-0.33Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.04
Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $-0.33Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.04—
Q3 2024-$0.33+$0.64
Q2 2024-$0.48+$0.88
Q1 2024-$0.57+$2.67
Q4 2023-$0.76+$2.52

BLND is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $3.28 at its worst in late 2022.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over BLND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.9M+0.2%
Q2 2026$33.8M+7.3%
Q1 2026$30.8M+15%
Q4 2025$32.4M-22%
Q3 2025$32.9M-27%
Q2 2025$31.5M-22%
Q1 2025$26.8M-23%
Q4 2024$41.4M+15%

BLND's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

BLND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$21,000Q1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $94,000
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$21,000Q1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $94,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$94K+$5.9M
Q2 2026$7.1M+$17.2M
Q1 2026$6.2M-61%
Q4 2025-$21K+$7.1M
Q3 2025-$5.8M-$4.4M
Q2 2025-$10.1M-$1.6M
Q1 2025$15.8M+$21.6M
Q4 2024-$7.2M+$13.6M

BLND has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

BLND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 245MQ1 2024: 251MQ2 2024: 253MQ3 2024: 255MQ4 2024: 254MQ1 2025: 259MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 259MQ1 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 237M
Q4 2023: 245MQ1 2024: 251MQ2 2024: 253MQ3 2024: 255MQ4 2024: 254MQ1 2025: 259MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 259MQ1 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 237M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.2%-18.3M shares
1 year-8.4%-21.9M shares
3 years-2.8%-6.9M shares
5 years+8.1%+17.7M shares
Available history+8.1%+17.7M shares

BLND has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BLND Net Leverage

BLND's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BLND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

BLND's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLND PE vs Technology Sector

BLND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

BLND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.051.9% above
20 week MA$1.3722% below
50 week MA$1.7740% below
100 week MA$2.6359% below
200 week MA$2.4456% below

BLND has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 56% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over BLND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$20.9$7.53-64%
2022$7.53$1.22-84%
2023$1.22$2.55+109%
2024$2.55$4.29+68%
2025$4.29$3.05-29%
2026 YTD$3.05$1.07-65%

BLND's yearly returns have swung widely, from +109% in 2023 to −84% in 2022. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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