ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
BKSY has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BKSY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
BKSY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BKSY PE Valuation
BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BKSY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BKSY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
BKSY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.28 | +$2.69 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.82 | +$2.37 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.55 | +$0.85 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.15 | +$1.71 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.97 | -$1.79 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.19 | -$2.67 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.40 | -$0.44 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.86 | -$0.66 |
BKSY has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over BKSY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BKSY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.8M | +118% |
| Q2 2026 | $33.3M | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.2M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.6M | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.2M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $29.5M | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.4M | -14% |
BKSY's revenue is growing: $43M last quarter, up 118% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9% | +87 points |
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +39 points |
| Q1 2026 | -89% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -12% | +8.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -86% | -27 points |
| Q2 2025 | -63% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -41% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | -20% | -7 points |
BKSY has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
BKSY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $67K | +$42.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.9M | +$4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.2M | -127% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.6M | -$8.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$42.8M | -$38.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.9M | -$5.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $22.8M | +$29.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.2M | -$605K |
BKSY has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over BKSY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
BKSY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.9M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +8.1M shares |
| 3 years | +152% | +26.1M shares |
BKSY has 43M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BKSY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 71.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 29.7x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 253.9x | High |
BKSY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BKSY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.8 | Neutral |
BKSY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BKSY PE vs Technology Sector
BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
BKSY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.4 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.9 | 1.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $26.1 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.7 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.6 | 49% above |
BKSY has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
BKSY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $78.4 | $78.0 | -0.5% |
| 2020 | $78.0 | $85.2 | +9.2% |
| 2021 | $85.2 | $42.4 | -50% |
| 2022 | $42.4 | $12.4 | -71% |
| 2023 | $12.4 | $11.2 | -9.7% |
| 2024 | $11.2 | $11.3 | +0.5% |
| 2025 | $11.3 | $19.3 | +71% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.3 | $23.2 | +20% |
BKSY has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.