ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BDC
Belden Inc.
BDC has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BDC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
BDC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BDC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $102 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $65.72 | -36% |
| Fair | 21x | $94.82 | -7.2% |
| Current | 23x | $102 | — |
| Expensive | 28x | $123 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BDC's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BDC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BDC, but weaker profitability.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
BDC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.58 | +115% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.45 | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.15 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.94 | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.91 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.62 | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.51 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.17 | +1.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.80 | -15% |
BDC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BDC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $966M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $750.2M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $696.4M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $720.1M | +8.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $698.2M | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $672M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $624.9M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $666M | +21% |
BDC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $966M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7% | -9.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +2.4 points |
BDC has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
BDC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $88.6M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | -$63.1M | -$38.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $121.3M | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $65.3M | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $56.9M | -6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24.8M | -$3.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $116.4M | +11% |
BDC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
BDC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -203K shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -3.5M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -6.3M shares |
| Available history | -7.9% | -3.3M shares |
BDC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BDC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Healthy |
BDC's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BDC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.0 | Oversold |
BDC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BDC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | BDC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 28x | 18% below |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
BDC is trading at 23x earnings, a 18% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over BDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BDC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $105.9 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $113.0 | 9.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $117.6 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $115.8 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $103.4 | 1.1% below |
BDC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.1% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
BDC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.5 | $41.6 | -25% |
| 2021 | $41.6 | $63.7 | +53% |
| 2022 | $63.7 | $73.2 | +15% |
| 2023 | $73.2 | $77.3 | +5.5% |
| 2024 | $77.3 | $113.5 | +47% |
| 2025 | $113.5 | $118.4 | +4.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.4 | $102.2 | -14% |
BDC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.