ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BAND

Bandwidth Inc.

65
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

BAND has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BAND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

BAND's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAND PE Valuation

BAND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAND, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails BAND on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+121%$102.20
Downside-54%$21.29

Calculated from the latest close: $46.29 on Nov 12.

BAND has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

BAND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.06Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $2.05
Q4 2023: $-1.06Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.05—
Q3 2026-$0.12+$0.27
Q2 2026-$0.29+$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.38-$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.43+$0.14
Q3 2025-$0.39+$0.55
Q2 2025-$0.34+$0.81
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.78
Q4 2024-$0.57+$0.49

BAND has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over BAND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $174MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $209MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $234M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $174MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $209MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $234M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$234M+22%
Q2 2026$219.9M+22%
Q1 2026$208.8M+20%
Q4 2025$207.7M-1.1%
Q3 2025$191.9M-1%
Q2 2025$180M+3.7%
Q1 2025$174.2M+1.9%
Q4 2024$210M+27%

BAND's revenue is growing: $234M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

BAND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$851,000Q2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$851,000Q2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$35M+119%
Q2 2026$26.1M-7.1%
Q1 2026$1.7M+$12.1M
Q4 2025$33.5M+1.1%
Q3 2025$16M-5.8%
Q2 2025$28.2M+37%
Q1 2025-$10.5M-$9.6M
Q4 2024$33.2M+117%

BAND has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over BAND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BAND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+6.6M shares
1 year+33%+9.9M shares
3 years+57%+14.5M shares
5 years+60%+15M shares
Available history+68%+16.2M shares

BAND has 40M diluted shares, up 33% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BAND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 45.8xQ1 2024: 28.2xQ2 2024: 14.5xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 6.8xQ1 2025: 6.0xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 45.8xQ1 2024: 28.2xQ2 2024: 14.5xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 6.8xQ1 2025: 6.0xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20256.0xHigh
Q4 20246.8xHigh

BAND's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BAND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic26.1Neutral

BAND's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAND PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBANDSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

BAND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

BAND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.07.5% below
20 week MA$53.013% below
50 week MA$38.321% above
100 week MA$26.773% above
200 week MA$21.3117% above

BAND has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

BAND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.3$174.1+167%
2021$174.1$72.9-58%
2022$72.9$23.7-68%
2023$23.7$14.5-39%
2024$14.5$17.3+20%
2025$17.3$15.2-12%
2026 YTD$15.2$46.3+205%

BAND has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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