ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AVT

Avnet, Inc.

69
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential6/ 100

AVT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

AVT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$37.55-56%
Fair12x$83.17-2.9%
Current13x$85.64—
Expensive25x$168+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVT's PE is in its fair range at 13x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AVT to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails AVT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$187.80
Downside-6%$80.72

Calculated from the latest close: $85.64 on Nov 12.

AVT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

AVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.68+147%
Q2 2026$4.01+46%
Q1 2026$2.59-28%
Q4 2025$2.46-31%
Q3 2025$2.70-30%
Q2 2025$2.75-49%
Q1 2025$3.59-42%
Q4 2024$3.55-51%

AVT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over AVT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.7B+82%
Q2 2026$8.3B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+34%
Q4 2025$6.3B+12%
Q3 2025$5.9B+5.3%
Q2 2025$5.6B+1%
Q1 2025$5.3B-6%
Q4 2024$5.7B-8.7%

AVT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 82% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$866.7M-$697.5M
Q2 2026-$307.5M-485%
Q1 2026-$70.7M-162%
Q4 2025$192.9M-37%
Q3 2025-$169.2M-327%
Q2 2025$79.9M-68%
Q1 2025$114.1M-75%
Q4 2024$308.5M+$432.7M

AVT has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+2.6M shares
1 year+1.8%+1.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-7.2M shares
5 years-15%-15.1M shares
Available history-15%-15.3M shares

AVT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AVT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AVT's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.8 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

AVT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVTSector medianRelative
PE13x28x54% below
PE %513516 pts above

AVT is trading at 13x earnings, a 54% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

AVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.67.5% below
20 week MA$91.66.5% below
50 week MA$77.111% above
100 week MA$64.034% above
200 week MA$56.452% above

AVT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

AVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.5$34.5-19%
2021$34.5$40.3+17%
2022$40.3$41.7+3.7%
2023$41.7$50.4+21%
2024$50.4$52.9+5%
2025$52.9$49.3-6.9%
2026 YTD$49.3$85.6+74%

AVT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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