ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over ATHR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ATHR

Aether Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

42
Fundamentals23/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

ATHR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ATHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ATHR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ATHR PE Valuation

ATHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ATHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ATHR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ATHR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ATHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+98%$5.20
Downside-49%$1.34

Calculated from the latest close: $2.63 on Nov 12.

ATHR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over ATHR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ATHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.26Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.42
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.26Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.42-$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.39-$0.27
Q4 2025-$0.35-$0.26
Q3 2025-$0.26-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.17-$0.12
Q1 2025-$0.12-$0.07
Q4 2024-$0.09-$0.06

ATHR lost $0.42 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ATHR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ATHR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $369,502Q4 2023: $365,413Q1 2024: $365,220Q2 2024: $356,688Q3 2024: $352,775Q4 2024: $354,643Q1 2025: $341,906Q2 2025: $342,411Q3 2025: $341,890Q4 2025: $338,804Q1 2026: $336,041Q2 2026: $328,705
Q3 2023: $369,502Q4 2023: $365,413Q1 2024: $365,220Q2 2024: $356,688Q3 2024: $352,775Q4 2024: $354,643Q1 2025: $341,906Q2 2025: $342,411Q3 2025: $341,890Q4 2025: $338,804Q1 2026: $336,041Q2 2026: $328,705
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$328.7K-4%
Q1 2026$336K-1.7%
Q4 2025$338.8K-4.5%
Q3 2025$341.9K-3.1%
Q2 2025$342.4K-4%
Q1 2025$341.9K-6.4%
Q4 2024$354.6K-2.9%
Q3 2024$352.8K-4.5%

ATHR's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $328,705 last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ATHR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $76,437Q4 2023: −$71,550Q1 2024: −$85,543Q2 2024: −$241,216Q3 2024: −$351,061Q4 2024: −$258,016Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$919,179Q2 2026: −$1M
Q3 2023: $76,437Q4 2023: −$71,550Q1 2024: −$85,543Q2 2024: −$241,216Q3 2024: −$351,061Q4 2024: −$258,016Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$919,179Q2 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$2.2M-$1.9M
Q3 2025-$1.6M-$1.2M
Q4 2024-$258K-$186.5K
Q3 2024-$351.1K-559%
Q2 2024-$241.2K-1535%

ATHR has burned cash in most quarters: −$6M over the past year, against −$935,836 the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ATHR Total Shares

Q3 2023: 12MQ4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
Q3 2023: 12MQ4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+38 shares
1 year+2.3%+271K shares
3 years+2.6%+313K shares

ATHR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ATHR Net Leverage

ATHR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ATHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ATHR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ATHR PE vs Technology Sector

ATHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus ATHR above 0 of 3.

ATHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.878.4% below
20 week MA$3.4123% below
50 week MA$3.9133% below

ATHR is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 50-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over ATHR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ATHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$5.50$5.84+6.2%
2026 YTD$5.84$2.63-55%

ATHR has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 55% so far in 2026.

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