ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASX

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.

71
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ASX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Healthy

ASX's balance sheet is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASX PE Valuation

ASX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$52.70
Downside-30%$25.54

Calculated from the latest close: $36.29 on Nov 12.

ASX trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ASX Earnings Per Share

ASX and ASTS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

ASX and ASTS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ASX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

ASX and ASTS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ASX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.2BQ1 2024: 2.2BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.2BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.2BQ4 2025: 2.2BQ1 2026: 2.2BQ2 2026: 2.3BQ3 2026: 2.3B
Q4 2023: 2.2BQ1 2024: 2.2BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.2BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.2BQ4 2025: 2.2BQ1 2026: 2.2BQ2 2026: 2.3BQ3 2026: 2.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+13.2M shares
1 year+2.6%+56.5M shares
3 years+4.2%+92.2M shares
5 years+3.7%+80.7M shares

ASX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy
Q3 20241.3xHealthy

ASX's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ASX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

ASX's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASXSector medianRelative
PE38x28x35% above
PE %853550 pts above

ASX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ASX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.510% below
20 week MA$39.48% below
50 week MA$31.117% above
100 week MA$20.974% above
200 week MA$14.9143% above

ASX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ASX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.59$5.74+2.7%
2021$5.74$7.57+32%
2022$7.57$6.34-16%
2023$6.34$9.41+48%
2024$9.41$10.3+9.9%
2025$10.3$15.7+52%
2026 YTD$15.7$36.3+131%

ASX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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