ASTH

Astrana Health, Inc.

71
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ASTH's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 35% and earnings per share more than tripled. At 30x earnings, it's trading below its usual 34x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

HIMS

Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score HIMS yet.

ASTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

ASTH's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

HIMS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Strong

HIMS's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak.

ASTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$31.77โ€”
Cheap26x$28.12-11%
Current30x$31.77โ€”
Fair34x$35.99+13%
Expensive61x$65.79+107%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASTH's PE is in its cheap range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

HIMS PE Valuation

HIMS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ASTH has the edge over HIMS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

HIMS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HIMS's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$54.34
Downside-20%$25.55

Calculated from the latest close: $31.77 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTH and HIMS's risk to reward.

HIMS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.73 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTH and HIMS's risk to reward.

ASTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.44Q3 2024: $1.30Q4 2024: $0.90Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $0.52Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.61Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.07Forward: $1.77
Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.44Q3 2024: $1.30Q4 2024: $0.90Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $0.52Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.61Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.07Forward: $1.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.77+65%
Q3 2026$1.07+435%
Q2 2026$0.82+58%
Q1 2026$0.61-16%
Q4 2025$0.46-49%
Q3 2025$0.20-85%
Q2 2025$0.52-64%
Q1 2025$0.73-45%
Q4 2024$0.90-30%

ASTH has the edge over HIMS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HIMS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $0.53Q1 2025: $0.68Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $-0.09Q2 2026: $-0.63Q3 2026: $-0.83
Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $0.53Q1 2025: $0.68Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $-0.09Q2 2026: $-0.63Q3 2026: $-0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.83-257%
Q2 2026-$0.63-180%
Q1 2026-$0.09-113%
Q4 2025$0.51-3.8%
Q3 2025$0.53+20%
Q2 2025$0.79+888%
Q1 2025$0.68+$0.69
Q4 2024$0.53+$0.64

HIMS has swung to a loss: it lost $0.83 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ASTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $353MQ1 2024: $404MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $479MQ4 2024: $665MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $956MQ4 2025: $951MQ1 2026: $965MQ2 2026: $973MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $353MQ1 2024: $404MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $479MQ4 2024: $665MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $956MQ4 2025: $951MQ1 2026: $965MQ2 2026: $973MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+7.1%
Q2 2026$972.5M+49%
Q1 2026$965.1M+56%
Q4 2025$950.5M+43%
Q3 2025$956M+100%
Q2 2025$654.8M+35%
Q1 2025$620.4M+53%
Q4 2024$665.2M+88%

ASTH has the edge over HIMS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HIMS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $247MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $402MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $586MQ2 2025: $545MQ3 2025: $599MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $608MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $890M
Q4 2023: $247MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $402MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $586MQ2 2025: $545MQ3 2025: $599MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $608MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $890M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$890.4M+49%
Q2 2026$753.2M+38%
Q1 2026$608.1M+3.8%
Q4 2025$617.8M+28%
Q3 2025$599M+49%
Q2 2025$544.8M+73%
Q1 2025$586M+111%
Q4 2024$481.1M+95%

HIMS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $890M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.4M+68%
Q2 2026$28.9M-68%
Q1 2026$64.1M+372%
Q4 2025-$6M+$7.5M
Q3 2025$7.4M-77%
Q2 2025$89.5M+340%
Q1 2025$13.6M+142%
Q4 2024-$13.5M-210%

ASTH generated $99M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.5% from the year before.

HIMS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: โˆ’$70MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: โˆ’$68MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: โˆ’$70MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: โˆ’$68MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26M-67%
Q2 2026-$68.2M+$1.3M
Q1 2026$53.1M+5.9%
Q3 2025$79.3M-7%
Q2 2025-$69.5M-230%
Q1 2025$50.1M+94%
Q3 2024$85.3M+238%
Q2 2024$53.6M+219%

HIMS has the edge over ASTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+138K shares
1 year+0.9%+443K shares
3 years+6.4%+3M shares
5 years+8.9%+4.1M shares
Available history+33%+12.5M shares

ASTH has 50M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $19M in buybacks over the past year.

HIMS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 235MQ3 2024: 235MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 249MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 232MQ3 2026: 234M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 235MQ3 2024: 235MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 249MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 232MQ3 2026: 234M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+2.1M shares
1 year-6%-14.9M shares
3 years+11%+23.7M shares
5 years+17%+33.8M shares

HIMS has the edge over ASTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

ASTH's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

HIMS Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -49.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -2.8xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -7.3xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -5.9x
Q1 2024: -49.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -2.8xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -7.3xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.5xNet Cash

HIMS has more cash than debt.

ASTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic28.8Neutral

ASTH's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

HIMS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.0Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

HIMS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

ASTH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricASTHSector medianRelative
PE30x26x15% above
PE %30291 pt above

ASTH is trading at 30x earnings, a 15% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HIMS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHIMSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

HIMS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.911% below
20 week MA$38.417% below
50 week MA$32.83% below
100 week MA$31.02.6% above
200 week MA$35.19.6% below

ASTH has the edge over HIMS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HIMS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.328% below
20 week MA$29.232% below
50 week MA$27.729% below
100 week MA$35.945% below
200 week MA$24.419% below

HIMS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

ASTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.7$17.5-6.3%
2021$17.5$70.8+305%
2022$70.8$29.9-58%
2023$29.9$38.3+28%
2024$38.3$32.7-15%
2025$32.7$25.4-22%
2026 YTD$25.4$31.8+25%

ASTH has the edge over HIMS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HIMS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.89$15.0+51%
2021$15.0$6.65-56%
2022$6.65$6.43-3.3%
2023$6.43$8.90+38%
2024$8.90$26.6+198%
2025$26.6$34.3+29%
2026 YTD$34.3$19.7-42%

HIMS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +198% in 2024 to โˆ’56% in 2021. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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