ASTE

Astec Industries, Inc.

41
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ASTE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ASTE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ASTE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

ASTE's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE585x1169x1754x2338x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE585x1169x1754x2338x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$38.64—
Cheap30x$14.87-62%
Fair43x$21.71-44%
Current77x$38.64—
Expensive93x$46.64+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASTE's PE is in its expensive range at 77x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ASTE, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$45.83
Downside-36%$24.75

Calculated from the latest close: $38.64 on Nov 12.

ASTE trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $-0.10Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $3.80
Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $-0.10Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $3.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.80+660%
Q3 2026$0.50-76%
Q2 2026$0.85-57%
Q1 2026$1.12+70%
Q4 2025$1.68+784%
Q3 2025$2.08+$2.16
Q2 2025$1.99+$2.09
Q1 2025$0.66-39%
Q4 2024$0.19-87%

ASTE has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ASTE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $346MQ3 2024: $291MQ4 2024: $359MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $330MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $401MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $352M
Q4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $346MQ3 2024: $291MQ4 2024: $359MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $330MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $401MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $352M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$352.4M+0.7%
Q2 2026$408.1M+24%
Q1 2026$396.3M+20%
Q4 2025$400.6M+12%
Q3 2025$350.1M+20%
Q2 2025$330.3M-4.4%
Q1 2025$329.4M+6.5%
Q4 2024$359M+6.5%

ASTE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $352M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ASTE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M+$23M
Q2 2026$4.7M-48%
Q1 2026$32.6M+96%
Q4 2025$7.4M-77%
Q3 2025-$12.3M-162%
Q2 2025$9M+173%
Q1 2025$16.6M+$69.4M
Q4 2024$32.1M-14%

ASTE has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ASTE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-243K shares
1 year+0.7%+158K shares
3 years+1.3%+301K shares
5 years+0.6%+135K shares
Available history+1.6%+374K shares

ASTE has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ASTE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.6xVery low

ASTE's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASTE's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ASTE PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricASTESector medianRelative
PE77x24x221% above
PE %775819 pts above

ASTE is trading at 77x earnings, a 221% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.01% below
20 week MA$44.513% below
50 week MA$49.622% below
100 week MA$44.613% below
200 week MA$41.77.3% below

ASTE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.3% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ASTE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.1$58.6+39%
2021$58.6$69.3+18%
2022$69.3$41.0-41%
2023$41.0$37.2-9.3%
2024$37.2$33.2-11%
2025$33.2$45.9+38%
2026 YTD$45.9$38.6-16%

ASTE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over ASTE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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