ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc.
ASTE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over ASTE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
ASTE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
ASTE's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 10x | $38.64 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $14.87 | -62% |
| Fair | 43x | $21.71 | -44% |
| Current | 77x | $38.64 | — |
| Expensive | 93x | $46.64 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASTE's PE is in its expensive range at 77x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ASTE, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.80 | +660% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.50 | -76% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.85 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.68 | +784% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.08 | +$2.16 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.99 | +$2.09 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.66 | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.19 | -87% |
ASTE has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ASTE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $352.4M | +0.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $408.1M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $396.3M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $400.6M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $350.1M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $330.3M | -4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $329.4M | +6.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $359M | +6.5% |
ASTE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $352M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.3% | -3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | +9.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.7% | +4.1 points |
ASTE has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ASTE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.7M | +$23M |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7M | -48% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.6M | +96% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4M | -77% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.3M | -162% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +173% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.6M | +$69.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $32.1M | -14% |
ASTE has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ASTE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -243K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +158K shares |
| 3 years | +1.3% | +301K shares |
| 5 years | +0.6% | +135K shares |
| Available history | +1.6% | +374K shares |
ASTE has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $4M |
| Q4 2019 | — |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ASTE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
ASTE's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
ASTE's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ASTE PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ASTE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 77x | 24x | 221% above |
| PE % | 77 | 58 | 19 pts above |
ASTE is trading at 77x earnings, a 221% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.0 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $44.5 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.6 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.6 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $41.7 | 7.3% below |
ASTE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.3% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ASTE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.1 | $58.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $58.6 | $69.3 | +18% |
| 2022 | $69.3 | $41.0 | -41% |
| 2023 | $41.0 | $37.2 | -9.3% |
| 2024 | $37.2 | $33.2 | -11% |
| 2025 | $33.2 | $45.9 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.9 | $38.6 | -16% |
ASTE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over ASTE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.